Tottenham Hotspur trail AZ Alkmaar by one goal to nil heading into the second leg of Thursday's Europa League tie but the Londoners have already beaten their Dutch guests at home this season.
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Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: A home win and at least three goals
Key Stats
- AZ Alkmaar have lost three of their five away games in this season's Europa League.
- Over 2.5 goals have been produced in six of AZ's 11 European matches this season.
- Spurs star Son Heung-min is averaging 2.65 shots per 90 minutes in the Europa League.
Correct score prediction: Tottenham 2-1 AZ
A 2-1 win won be enough for Tottenham to win in 90 minutes but we can see this game being decided in extra time or even via a penalty shoot-out. Spurs have scored at least two goals in six of their nine outings in the Europa League but AZ have only failed to score in two of their 11 European matches this season.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against the visitors
- HOME: 18/35 (1.51) – 66%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Tottenham Hotspur are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 66% and we would expect the hosts to come out on top this Thursday.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: All square
There is nothing to separate these two clubs in the H2H record after each picked up a win apiece in their two meetings in the Europa League this season.
UEFA Europa League 06/03/25
AZ
Tottenham
UEFA Europa League 24/10/24
Tottenham
AZ
Tottenham preview: Disappointed in Alkmaar
Tottenham will have to up their game if they are to turn this tie around following a poor display in the Netherlands but the Londoners will be relieved to only be one-goal down.
An unfortunate own goal from Lucas Bergvall in the 18th minute ended up dividing the two clubs at the final whistle but former Tottenham striker Troy Parrott probably should have doubled AZ's lead in the first-half.
Midfielder Dejan Kulusevski and defender Radu Dragusin have both been ruled out of Thursday's second leg due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Vicario (GK), Danso, Spence, Udogie, Maddison, Bentancur, Gray, Bergvall, Son, Johnson & Tel
AZ Alkmaar preview: Should have won by more
AZ Alkmaar will probably feel as if they missed a big opportunity to put this Europa League tie to bed last week.
The Dutch club took the lead in the 18th minute via an own goal but had two more big chances in the first half which should have resulted in goals.
The visitors could be without the services of Denso Kasius, Mayckel Lahdo, Sven Mijnans and Ruben van Bommel on Thursday night through injury.
Predicted lineup: Owusu-Oduro (GK), Penetra, Moller Wolfe, Maikuma, Goes, Clasie, Koopmeiners, Buurmeester, Parrott, Kasius & Poku
UEFA Europa League 06/03/25
W
Tottenham
0
AZ
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 02/03/25
L
Heerenveen
3
AZ
1
Netherlands Cup 27/02/25
W
Heracles
2 (3)
AZ
2 (4)
Netherlands Eredivisie 23/02/25
W
Fortuna Sittard
0
AZ
1
UEFA Europa League 20/02/25
D
Galatasaray
2
AZ
2
Player to watch: Son Heung-min
Tottenham 32-year-old South Korean star Son Heung-min hasn't managed to reach his usual high levels in terms of goals this season but still remains a huge player for the London club.
Son joint-top scores for Spurs in the Europa League this season with three goals, one of which arrived in the form of a penalty. The South Korean international had been struggling for goals across all competitions of late but did find the back of the net in Tottenham's last game against Bournemouth in the Premier League.
Spurs need a big performance from their star forward
We're looking forward to seeing if Son can come up with a big performance on Thursday night to keep Tottenham's hopes of silverware this season alive.