Torino vs Lecce prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/02/2024

17/07/24 - 21:39

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Torino vs Lecce prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/02/2024

Torino vs Lecce prediction
Duvan Zapata celebrates scoring a goal for Torino. The Colombian could be a key player again – Photo by Icon sport

Torino welcome Lecce to the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on Friday evening in a Serie A clash between two of the division’s mid-table outfits. The visitors could move to within three points of Il Toro with an against-the-odds victory in Turin. Check out our free Torino vs Lecce betting tips below.

Torino vs Lecce predictions: Il Toro to make home advantage count?

Torino vs Lecce predictions
Our pick

⚽ Match Result

Torino to Win

⚽ Correct Score

Torino 1-0 Lecce

⚽ Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

Torino have lost only one of their last ten matches in Serie A and are gunning for a top half finish this term. Lecce meanwhile, are in the midst of a slump and were toppled in four of their last five assignments in the Italian top tier.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Torino priced as odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Torino have been a tough nut to crack on home soil this season and Il Toro’s only loss in 11 previous home fixtures in Serie A came against title favouries Inter Milan in October. Lecce have yet to post a single victory on the road this term and they were beaten in each of their last four encounters with Torino.

Last five H2Hs: Torino the dominant force

Torino are searching for their fifth win on the bounce at Lecce’s expense and it’s interesting to note that Il Toro beat Lecce without conceding in each of the sides’ last three skirmishes. The visitor’s dreadful away record will definitely factor into our Torino vs Lecce betting tips here. Neither team has been particularly prolific, so chances to score could be at a premium.

Team news and form guide

Torino: Hosts have a lengthy unbeaten home record to protect

Alessandro Buongiorno and Perr Schuurs are out of action for Torino. In-form Il Toro avoided defeat in nine of their last ten Serie A fixtures.

Predicted lineup: Milinkovic-Savic – Djidji, Lovato, Rodriguez – Bellanova, Tameze, Ilic, Lazaro – Vlasic, Zapata, Sanabria

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

3

Torino

Torino

0

Italy Serie A 18/05/24

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Torino

Torino

3

Italy Serie A 12/05/24

W

Verona

Verona

1

Torino

Torino

2

Italy Serie A 03/05/24

D

Bologna

Bologna

0

Torino

Torino

0

Italy Serie A 28/04/24

L

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Torino

Torino

0

Lecce: Visitors have lost five straight away games in Serie A

Kastriot Dermaku is a slight doubt with a sprained knee for Lecce while fellow defender Valentin Gendrey is suspended and will miss Friday's game. Lecce were thumped 4-0 by Bologna in their last outing.

Predicted lineup: Falcone – Venuti, Pongracic, Baschirotto, Gallo – Kaba, Ramadani, Oudin – Almqvist, Krstovic, Banda

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

D

Napoli

Napoli

0

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 18/05/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 13/05/24

L

Udinese

Udinese

2

Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 05/05/24

D

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/24

D

Monza

Monza

1

Lecce

Lecce

1

Our free expert picks: 1-0 win for Torino in a low-key contest

If this selection doesn’t quite cut it for you, we recommend checking out our other free betting tips.

Torino’s clash with Lecce has plenty of interesting avenues to explore in the markets. Backing the host to hold a lead in the half time market might appeal at 7/5 (2.40), an option that has a 41.7% chance of hitting the mark. Torino are also available at a nice 8/15 (1.53) to open the scoring against Lecce. The probability of that one landing is currently set at 65.2%.

Hot tip – Torino to Win

  • Lecce are winless on the road this season and have lost seven out of 12 away fixtures so far.
  • Torino have won four and drawn two of their last six home games in Serie A.

Other tips

Torino 1-0 Lecce

  • Torino beat Lecce in the reverse league fixture between the teams in October.
  • Torino kept a clean sheet in each of their last three meetings with Lecce.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 goals landed in each of the last three tussles between Torino and Lecce.
  • Lecce managed to score just nine times in their first 12 Serie A away fixtures combined this term.
Torino vs Lecce prediction
Torino picked up three points when they won 1-0 at Lecce in October – Photo by Icon sport

Player to watch – Duvan Zapata

Duvan Zapata is enjoying a fine maiden campaign for Torino since his move the club from Atalanta last summer. The veteran striker is already a talismanic presence for Il Toro and the 32-year-old has already bagged six goals and three assists in Serie A for his new employers.

Zapata to open the scoring?

Colombian star Zapata has been providing plenty of match-defining moments for Torino this season and six of his seven Serie A goals since August have been deadlock-breakers for Il Toro. Zapata’s knack for netting first could make him a useful option in the first goal-scorer market this week.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.