Sweden vs Slovenia prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/11/2025
The two sides drew 2-2 in the reverse fixture. (Photo by Imago / Xinhua)
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BTTS - Yes & Under 2.5 total goals

Seven of Slovenia’s last ten matches returned under 2.5 goals inside 90 minutes, while Sweden have scored just one goal in their last four outings.

In an effective dead rubber, already-eliminated sides Sweden and Slovenia draw swords purely for pride in their final World Cup qualifier at the Strawberry Arena in Solna on Tuesday, 18 November.

Keep close tabs on our World Cup predictions after viewing our key Sweden vs Slovenia tips below.

Sweden vs Slovenia prediction: Spoils to be shared in Solna

Key stats

  • Sweden are on a four-match losing streak this WCQ campaign.
  • The Blagult have lost back-to-back home outings.
  • Slovenia are winless in five straight competitive outings (D3, L2).
  • The visitors have lost just once across their last six away games (W2, D3).

Correct score prediction: Sweden 1-1 Slovenia

Sitting at the bottom of Group D with a solitary point to their name, Azerbaijan have struggled spectacularly this World Cup qualifying campaign, now losing three on the trot. Aykhan Abbasov’s side have nothing but pride to play for in front of their home faithful.

France, meanwhile, are one of the two European sides, alongside England, to have sealed their spot at next year’s showdown event following their 4-0 win over Ukraine. The two-time World Cup winners are clearly in line to go unbeaten for a second successive WCQ cycle.

Expect the Blues to comfortably beat the hosts in what in bound to extend their winless streak to 15 games, including friendlies.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Swedes to win?

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) = 63.6%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) = 25.6%
  • AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) = 17.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite their dismal WCQ campaign, Sweden still stand the chance of qualifying to the 2026 World Cup thanks to their UEFA Nations League ranking, which gives them a place in the play-offs. They are backed by 4/7 (1.57) odds, suggesting a 63.6% chance of success on home turf.

Already eliminated, Slovenia are low on morale in the dugout, having scored two and conceded seven goals in five WCQ fixtures. The visitors have odds of 19/4 (5.75) stacked in their favour – a 17.3% win probability rate.

Visit our football betting tips page for more free predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Draws galore

In their four H2Hs so far, Sweden have won one, while the rest three clashes have ended in draws, including September’s 2-2 draw between the two sides.

UEFA Nations League B 27/09/22

Sweden

Sweden

1
Slovenia

Slovenia

1

UEFA Nations League 02/06/22

Slovenia

Slovenia

0
Sweden

Sweden

2

International Match 30/05/16

Sweden

Sweden

0
Slovenia

Slovenia

0

Sweden preview: Can they impress on home turf?

With Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres suffering with fitness issues, Sweden have had real troubles on the goalscoring front. Emil Holm, Lucas Bergvall and Hugo Larsson will also miss this clash.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Holm, Lagerbielke, Hien, Svensson, Elanga, Ayari, Karlstrom, Bernhardsson, Nygren & Svanberg

Last five matches:

  • Switzerland 4-1 Sweden (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Sweden 0-1 Kosovo (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Sweden 0-2 Switzerland (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Kosovo 2-0 Sweden (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Slovenia 2-2 Sweden (World Cup Qualifiers)

Slovenia preview: Can they win away from home?

Petar Stojanovic picked up a red card against Kosovo, while Benjamin Sesko is out with a knee injury.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Karnicnik, Brekalo, Bijol, Drkusic, Janza, Stankovic, Horvat, Elsnik, Vipotnik & Sporar

Last five matches:

  • Slovenia 0-2 Kosovo (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Slovenia 0-0 Switzerland (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Kosovo 0-0 Slovenia (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Switzerland 3-0 Slovenia (World Cup Qualifiers)
  • Slovenia 2-2 Sweden (World Cup Qualifiers)

Player to watch: Andraz Sporar

Andraz Sporar
Sporar is yet to find the back of the net this WCQ campaign. (Photo by Imago / Eibner Europa)

Slovan Bratislava forward Sporar could prove significant for Slovenia, who have scored just two goals in five WCQ games this campaign. Slovenia remain unbeaten in each of the last 10 games he has scored in, including three draws across his last four goalscoring appearances.


With a passport full of stories, Akhil has journeyed across Europe and beyond, immersed in the fabric of the beautiful game. From covering thrilling Milan derby nights at San Siro as a live match analyst to uncovering hidden talents in the Benelux region as a scout, his versatile and hybrid background allows him to deliver clear, engaging narratives that capture football's essence.