The German Bundesliga continues with the third round of games as Stuttgart face St Pauli on Friday at the MHP Arena. The Reds have had one win and two losses in their first three games. They lost 1-0 to Frieburg, placing them in 12th position in the league table.
The League Buccaneers, meanwhile, have made a promising start and are unbeaten in the German Bundesliga, with two wins and one draw in their first three games. They claimed a 2-1 victory over Augsburg at the weekend and sit in fourth place on the table.
Read our Stuttgart vs St Pauli predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Bundesliga predictions.
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Stuttgart vs St Pauli prediction: The Reds to claim the win
Key statistics
- Stuttgart have been behind at half-time in each of their last three home matches against St Pauli.
- The Reds have won by a 2-1 scoreline against the League Buccaneers twice in their last five meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five encounters.
Correct score prediction: Stuttgart 2-1 St Pauli
St Pauli will face a difficult challenge and we are predicting a two-one victory for Stuttgart. Although St Pauli have started the season strongly, the quality of Stuttgart and the advantage of playing at home are expected to make the difference.
Previous records show that Stuttgart have enjoyed a dominant record against St Pauli and their strong attacking play should once again be enough to break down the defence of the visitors. The home side have a habit of scoring in most matches, but the recent form of St Pauli suggests that they will also find the net. All signs point to a close and thrilling contest, with Stuttgart likely to secure the win.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Bookmakers favour Stuttgart
- Home: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
- Draw: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- Away: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.
With the odds given to both teams, the Swabians are seen as the favourites with a 60.6% chance of winning. A draw is given a 25.0% likelihood, while the Neighbourhood Kickers are rated at 20.8%, showing they are considered the underdogs but could still pose a threat in this fixture.
Head-to-head: Stuttgart dominate recent meetings
The recent head-to-head record between these two teams heavily favours Sebastian Hoeneb’s side, who have won four and lost one of their last five meetings.
The most recent encounter in December 2024 saw Stuttgart win one-nil. These results show Stuttgart's dominance, but St Pauli's recent form suggests they could pose a greater threat than in previous years.
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25 St Pauli VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I 21/12/24 VfB Stuttgart St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II 01/02/20 St Pauli VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga II 17/08/19 VfB Stuttgart St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II 29/01/17 St Pauli VfB Stuttgart
After reviewing our key Stuttgart vs St Pauli predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Stuttgart preview: Several players out in the team
Hoeneb’s team will be without a few key players due to injury. Julian Chabot is out with an injury, as is forward Justin Diehl with a muscle injury. Anel Ahmedhodzic and Leonidas Stergiou have ankle injuries, with Deniz Undav nursing a knee injury also. Luca Jaquez, as well, is sidelined with a broken nose and Silas is also out with an injury. Manager Sebastian Hoeness will have to rely on his squad's depth to fill these gaps.
Predicted lineup: Nubel (GK), Jeltsch, Vagnoman, Chabot, Mittelstadt, Stiller, Leweling, El Khannouss, Karazor, Demirovic & Bouanani
Last five fixtures
- 13.09.25 – Freiburg 3 – 1 Stuttgart
- 03.09.25 – Grossaspach 2 – 6 Stuttgart
- 30.08.25 – Stuttgart 1 – 0 B. Monchengladbach
- 26.08.25 – Braunschweig 4 – 5 (3 – 3) Stuttgart
- 23.08.25 – Union Berlin 2 – 1 Stuttgart
St Pauli preview: Injury worries in the team
St Pauli has a significant injury list for this match. Forward Abdoulie Ceesay is out with a foot injury. Ricky-Jade Jones is recovering from a shoulder injury. Defender Karol Mets is out with a knee injury and defender David Nemeth has a groin injury. The manager, Alexander Blessin, will need to make several adjustments to the lineup due to these key absences.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Dzwigala, Pyrka, Oppie, Smith, Wahl, Sinani, Sands, Fujita, Pereira Lage & Hountondji
Last five fixtures
- 14.09.25 – St. Pauli 2 – 1 Augsburg
- 03.09.25 – Holstein Kiel 1 – 1 St. Pauli
- 29.08.25 – Hamburger SV 0 – 2 St. Pauli
- 23.08.25 – St. Pauli 3 – 3 Dortmund
- 16.08.25 – Norderstedt 0 – 1 St. Pauli
Player to watch: Chris Fuhrich
Chris Fuhrich will be an important player for Stuttgart in this game. The winger has been in excellent form for the home side. In just two Bundesliga games this season, he has already provided one assist, underlining his importance to Stuttgart’s attacking play and showing why he will be a major factor in this clash.