With the Bundesliga‘s Champions League race heating up, a win for hosts Stuttgart against Freiburg at MHPArena on Sunday could be crucial.
Stuttgart come into the clashing in fifth place with 36 points having beaten Borussia Monchengladbach 3-0 on January 25, whereas their opponents are in seventh place with 27 points following their 2-1 victory against FC Koln last weekend.
Contents
- 1 Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction: Contrasting fortunes in attack
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Stuttgart predicted to win by the bookmakers
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Freiburg ahead in recent seasons
- 4 Stuttgart preview: Improved form of late
- 5 Freiburg preview: Mixed performances
- 6 Player to watch: Deniz Undav
Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction: Contrasting fortunes in attack
Key stats
- Stuttgart have scored 15 goals in their last six Bundesliga matches.
- Freiburg have failed to score in three of their past six away contests.
- The hosts have scored at least two goals in eight of their 13 clashes at home this season.
Correct score prediction: Stuttgart 2-1 Freiburg
Stuttgart should take confidence from the fact the visitors have struggled to create chances when they travel, so they should be able to limit their opponents on Sunday.
Given the hosts have often found the back of the net at MHPArena, Freiburg may find it difficult to take three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Stuttgart predicted to win by the bookmakers
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4) – 25%
- AWAY: 7/2 (4.5) – 22.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Stuttgart are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 60%, and the bookmakers have only given Freiburg a 22.2% chance victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Freiburg ahead in recent seasons
When the side's clashed in September 2025, Freiburg emerged as 3-1 winners, their second triumph against Stuttgart in three games.
Stuttgart have won three of their last five clashes against Sunday's visitors, but the away side have won seven of their 10 most recent encounters with their hosts.
Germany Bundesliga I 13/09/25
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Germany Bundesliga I 18/01/25
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Germany Bundesliga I 03/02/24
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Germany Bundesliga I 02/09/23
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
Stuttgart preview: Improved form of late
Die Roten will hope to extend their winning streak to three matches when they face the visitors, with the club having won six, drawn two and lost one one of their nine most recent outings.
Regulars Julian Chabot and Finn Jeltsch should be expected to start on Sunday given centre-back Dan-Axel Zagadou is dealing with a thigh injury.
Predicted lineup: Nubel (GK), Vagnoman, Jeltsch, Chabot, Mittelstadt, Karazor, Stiller, Fuhrich, El Khannouss, Leweling & Undav
Last five results:
- Stuttgart 3-2 Young Boys
- Borussia Monchengladbach 0-3 Stuttgart
- Roma 2-0 Stuttgart
- Stuttgart 1-1 Union Berlin
- Stuttgart 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg preview: Mixed performances
Freiburg have triumphed in just one of their past three Bundesliga matches, though they were only beaten once in that period, while the club have won two, lost two and drawn one of their last five games in all competitions.
With centre-back Philipp Lienhart ruled out of the weekend's clash, Matthias Ginter and Max Rosenfelder may be trusted in the heart of Freiburg's back four.
Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Treu, Ginter, Rosenfelder, Gunter, Eggestein, Manzambi, Beste, Suzuki, Scherhant & Matanovic
Last five results:
- Lille 1-0 Freiburg
- Freiburg 2-1 FC Koln
- Freiburg 1-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Augsburg 2-2 Freiburg
- RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg
Player to watch: Deniz Undav
There is no doubt that Deniz Undav has been Stuttgart's best forward this season, with the striker having scored 14 goals and provided seven assists in 25 games in all competitions.

Undav has scored four goals and registered three assists in his last six matches, and Stuttgart have failed to win the past five fixtures that he failed to score or assist in.