Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig prediction
RB Leipzig will have to work hard to beat Sturm Graz in Austria. (Photo by Imago)
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Over 2.5 total goals

Each of RB Leipzig’s last eight games in all competitions have featured over 2.5 goals.

Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig lock horns at the Merkur Arena in a Champions League group fixture on Wednesday, 29 January. Read our Champions League predictions for the contest below.

Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig prediction: Look to the goals market

Key Stats

  • RB Leipzig are still searching for their first clean sheet in the Champions League group stage.
  • 100% of RB Leipzig’s last eight games in all competitions have featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Benjamin Sesko has scored seven times in his last nine appearances for RB Leipzig.
  • RB Leipzig notched two goals in each of their last two UCL fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Sturm Graz 2-2 RB Leipzig

Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig have both won only once in seven attempts in the Champions League group stage and the strugglers have been conceding an average two goals per game each. Expect a high-scoring draw in Austria.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are clear underdogs

  • HOME: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Sturm Graz were battered 5-0 by Atalanta in their last Champions League assignment and they have just a 27.8% chance of bouncing back with a win on Wednesday.

RB Leipzig enjoyed a 2-1 win over Sporting CP in their last group stage test and the 19/20 favourites take good overall form into this week’s tussle. Visit our latest football tips page for more Champions League predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: First ever meeting on the cards

Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig have never met before, and Wednesday’s game will be the clubs’ first-ever encounter.

Sturm Graz preview: Hosts at full strength

Sturm Graz have few injury concerns and they should be able to name all of their big guns in their favoured 4-4-1-1 formation on Wednesday. The Austrians are in 33rd spot in the expanded 36-team Champions League group stage.

Predicted lineup: Scherpen (GK), Matic, Aiwu, Wuthrich, Lavalee, Yalcouye, Stankovic, Chukwuani, Camara, Kiteishvili, Boving

Austria Bundesliga 09/05/25

W

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

2

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

4

Austria Bundesliga 04/05/25

W

FC Blau Weiss Linz

FC Blau Weiss Linz

0

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

1

Austria Bundesliga 27/04/25

L

FK Austria Vienna

FK Austria Vienna

1

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

0

Austria Bundesliga 23/04/25

L

FK Austria Vienna

FK Austria Vienna

2

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

1

Austria Bundesliga 20/04/25

W

FC Blau Weiss Linz

FC Blau Weiss Linz

0

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

2

RB Leipzig preview: Lukeba, Schlager and Henrichs out

RB Leipzig will be without Castello Lukeba, Xaver Schlager, Andre Silva, Assan Ouedraogo and Benjamin Henrichs this week. Die Roten Bullen came from two goals down to earn a point at home to Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga at the weekend.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Klostermann, Orban, Bitshiabu, Raum, Nusa, Vermeeren, Kempl, Simons, Openda, Sesko

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

0

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

4

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/04/25

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Player to watch – Benjamin Sesko

Benjamin Sesko didn’t score and had just one shot against Bayer Leverkusen at the weekend, though the wonderkid has been in good overall form of late and could make a better impact on Wednesday.

Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig prediction
In-demand striker Sesko has been in excellent form for RB Leipzig. (Photo by Imago)

Sesko knows how to finish

Sesko, who is one of the most in-demand young forwards in Europe, has scored seven times in his last nine appearances in all competitions and the 21-year-old should offer a considerable goal threat in Austria.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.