Sturm Graz will hope to salvage their UEFA Champions League campaign as they make the trip to Gewiss Stadium on Tuesday, 21 January 2025. View our free Atalanta vs Sturm Graz predictions below.
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Atalanta vs Sturm Graz predictions: Hosts to lead at the break
Key stats
- Sturm Graz have suffered five defeats in six UEFA Champions League matches this season.
- The visitors trailed at half-time in four of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Atalanta kept four clean sheets in six Champions League matches so far.
- Four of Atalanta's last five games went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2-0 Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz have lost five of six group games so far, failing to score in three of them. In contrast, Atalanta kept four clean sheets in six Champions League matches this season. The Serie A outfit won three of their last five games in this competition, so we are confident that they will win without conceding.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
This is a must-win for Sturm Graz, as any other result will eliminate them from this competition. The visitors are 29th in the 36-team table, five points behind the playoff places with two games left to play.
On the other hand, Atalanta are eyeing a top-eight spot. They have a 3-2-1 win-draw-loss record and currently sit in 13th place, just two points behind eighth-placed Lille.
With that in mind, Atalanta are the expected winners at 2/9 (1.22). Teams with these odds generally have an 81.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atalanta vs Sturm Graz predictions.
We have established that Atalanta did not concede in four out of six group games so far. Keeping in mind that Sturm Graz blanked in three of their last five Champions League matches, BTTS – No has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Sturm Graz’s struggles set to continue?
Sturm Graz and Atalanta met twice in the group stages of the UEFA Europa League a couple of years ago. Atalanta won one encounter; the other ended in a stalemate.
UEFA Europa League 09/11/23
Atalanta
SK Sturm Graz
UEFA Europa League 26/10/23
SK Sturm Graz
Atalanta
Atalanta preview: Looking to get back to winning ways
Gian Piero Gasperini will not be able to call upon four of his players because of injuries, including Gianluca Scamacca, Juan Cuadrado, El Bilal Toure and Odilon Kossounou.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac, Bellanova, Ederson, Ruggeri, De Roon, Pasalic, Retegui & Lookman.
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
W
Roma
1
Atalanta
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Monza
0
Atalanta
4
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D
Lecce
1
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
W
AC Milan
0
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
W
Bologna
0
Atalanta
2
Sturm Graz preview: Hoping to turn their fortunes around
On the other hand, Alexander Burkovic is the only absentee for Sturm Graz this week.
Predicted lineup: Khudyakov (GK) Lavalee, Wuthrich, Geyrhofer, Johnston, Chukwuani, Stankovic, Yalcouye, Kiteishvili, Biereth & Boving.
Austria Bundesliga 09/05/25
W
FC Salzburg
2
SK Sturm Graz
4
Austria Bundesliga 04/05/25
W
FC Blau Weiss Linz
0
SK Sturm Graz
1
Austria Bundesliga 27/04/25
L
FK Austria Vienna
1
SK Sturm Graz
0
Austria Bundesliga 23/04/25
L
FK Austria Vienna
2
SK Sturm Graz
1
Austria Bundesliga 20/04/25
W
FC Blau Weiss Linz
0
SK Sturm Graz
2
Player to watch: Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman has four direct goal involvements in five Champions League appearances this season. The Nigerian player has been one of Atalanta's top performers, scoring 10 times and providing three assists in his last 16 matches. Lookman will be called upon to provide the goals on Tuesday evening.