St Pauli will be looking to give themselves a lifeline in the battle for Bundesliga survival when they take on a Stuttgart side that are chasing the top four.
Can the hosts shake off their poor run of form, or will the visitors bag their fifth win in a row? Read our St Pauli vs Stuttgart prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Bundesliga predictions here.
Contents
- 1 St Pauli vs Stuttgart prediction: Big implications at both ends of the table
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies back the visitors
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Stuttgart have the advantage
- 4 St Pauli preview: Major injury blow for hosts
- 5 Stuttgart preview: Visitors fighting for top four
- 6 Player to watch: Ermedin Demirovic
St Pauli vs Stuttgart prediction: Big implications at both ends of the table
Key Stats
- St Pauli are unbeaten at home since November.
- Seven of St Pauli’s last nine league games saw both teams score.
- Stuttgart have only lost one of their last 11 games across all competitions.
- Stuttgart are looking to bag their fifth straight victory across all comps.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-3 Stuttgart
The sinking ship that is St Pauli have endured a woeful start to 2026, losing four and drawing two of their six games.
Looking at the table, the situation looks rather desperate for the Hamburg club, who enter the weekend five points adrift of safety.
St Pauli last tasted victory back in early December, picking up a 2-1 victory over fellow strugglers Heidenheim.
Stuttgart, on the other hand, are flying on all fronts. Last Tuesday, the club booked their spot in the DFB Pokal semi-final, while also securing their place in the Europa League knockout phase a week earlier.
When it comes to the Bundesliga, the Swabians have won four of their last five in the competition, lifting themselves into the top four.
Sebastian Hoeness and his men are pushing for a Champions League spot, and considering their tremendous run of form, it is hard to see who will stop them.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies back the visitors
HOME: 333/100 (4.33) – 23.1%
DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.60%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at those St Pauli vs Stuttgart odds, it is clear that the bookmakers are backing the visitors to dominate proceedings.
If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Stuttgart have the advantage
To say Stuttgart have dominated this fixture would be a massive understatement. The Swabians have won eight of their last 10 head-to-head encounters since 2010.
This run includes successive wins over St Pauli in 2025, the last of which saw Stuttgart earn a 2-0 victory in September.
Germany Bundesliga I 19/09/25
VfB Stuttgart
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
St Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
Germany Bundesliga I 21/12/24
VfB Stuttgart
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St Pauli preview: Major injury blow for hosts
Time is running out for St Pauli to earn enough points to secure their Bundesliga status for another season. The club were knocked out of the DFB Pokal quarter-final on Tuesday, which may help them concentrate solely on league matters.
In terms of injuries, the club lost Ricky-Jade Jones to a twisted ankle during that defeat to Bayer Leverkusen on Tuesday – an injury which has ended the Englishman’s season.
Elsewhere, Andreas Hountondji, Connor Metcalfe and David Nemeth are also on the sidelines with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Ando, Smith, Mets, Saliakas, Rasmussen, Sands, Pyrka, Sinani, Fujita & Kaars
Last five matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-0 FC St. Pauli (DFB-Pokal)
FC Augsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
FC St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hamburger SV (Bundesliga)
Borussia Dortmund 3-2 FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
Stuttgart preview: Visitors fighting for top four
With four successive victories under their belts, Stuttgart boast a tonne of momentum as they head to Hamburg for Saturday’s encounter.
Their fight for the top four will be aided by the fact their injury list is not quite as bad as some of their rivals.
Defender Dan-Axel Zagadou will be a notable absentee as he continues his recovery from a tendon problem.
Elsewhere, there are doubts over Nikolas Nartey and Tiago Tomas, who could potentially feature on the bench.
Predicted lineup: Nubel (GK), Assignon, Al-Dakhil, Chabot, Hendriks, Stiller, Chema, El Khannouss, Undav, Leweling & Demirovic
Last five matches
Holstein Kiel 0-3 VfB Stuttgart (DFB-Pokal)
VfB Stuttgart 1-0 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
VfB Stuttgart 3-2 BSC Young Boys (UEFA Europa League)
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
AS Roma 2-0 VfB Stuttgart (UEFA Europa League)
Player to watch: Ermedin Demirovic
Stuttgart’s Ermedin Demirovic marked his 50th Bundesliga goal against Freiburg by scoring what proved to be the match winning goal.
The 27-year-old also scored and assisted in the 2-0 win over St Pauli earlier this season. On top of that, he boasts three goal contributions in his last three outings.