St Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction, odds & betting tips 19/10/2025
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Both teams to score

St Pauli have kept one clean sheet in 14 league games, while Hoffenheim have kept none in their last 11 in the top flight

With both teams tied on seven points in the Bundesliga, St Pauli will welcome Hoffenheim to Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday in each side's seventh league game of the season.

St Pauli head into their first match after the October international break in 11th place, and they will be hoping to bounce back after losing 1-0 against Werder Bremen on October 4, while their 12th-placed opponents were beaten 1-0 by FC Koln on October 3.

St Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction: Struggling at both ends

Key stats

  • St Pauli have conceded the opening goal in five of their six Bundesliga fixtures this term, and they have kept one clean sheet in 14 league games.
  • Hoffenheim failed to keep their opponents at bay in each of their last 11 top-flight fixtures, and they have scored just two goals in their past three games.
  • The hosts have only scored once in their three most recent matches, and have netted one or fewer goals in nine of their last 11 games at home.

Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-1 Hoffenheim

Neither side are in particularly strong form, with St Pauli and Hoffenheim both winless in three games.

Considering Sunday's sides have also struggled at both ends of the pitch, it would not be surprising if they shared the spoils in a relatively uneventful encounter.

Pre-game odds and win probability: St Pauli predicted to win by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 7/5 (2.4) – 41.7%%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 9/5 (2.8) – 35.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

St Pauli are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 41.7%, though the bookmakers have given Hoffenheim a fair shot of victory, with the club standing a 35.7% chance of claiming three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: St Pauli's strong record against Hoffenheim

St Pauli won both clashes against Hoffenheim in the 2024-25 Bundesliga season, winning 1-0 at home in March and 2-0 on the road in November 2024.

A win for Hoffenheim on Sunday would be just their second victory against their hosts, with their last triumph a 1-0 win in August 2010.

Germany Bundesliga I 14/03/25

St Pauli

St Pauli

1
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0

Germany Bundesliga I 02/11/24

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0
St Pauli

St Pauli

2

St Pauli preview: Strong form after poor start

St Pauli will hope to avoid a fourth consecutive defeat when they face Hoffenheim, though two of their losses came against fifth-placed Bayer Leverkusen and fourth-placed Stuttgart.

Kiezkicker centre-back David Nemeth has been ruled out due to a groin injury, so perhaps Adam Dzwigala, Eric Smith and Lars Ritzka will play in a back three.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Dzwigala, Smith, Ritzka, Pyrka, Sands, Fujita, Oppie, Sinani, Kaars & Lage

Last five results:

  • Werder Bremen 1-0 St Pauli
  • St Pauli 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • Stuttgart 2-0 St Pauli
  • St Pauli 2-1 Augsburg
  • Hamburger SV 0-2 St Pauli

Hoffenheim preview: Poor form of late

Hoffenheim were beaten 1-0 by newly-promoted FC Koln on October 23, with the loss representing their second defeat in three games, and failure to triumph on the weekend would extend their winless streak to four matches.

Forward Adam Hlozek is not scheduled to return until December due to a broken ankle, so expect to see an attack consisting of Tim Lemperle, Fisnik Asllani and Bazoumana Toure.

Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Coufal, Hranac, Hajdari, Bernardo, Kramaric, Avdullahu, Burger, Lemperle, Asllani & Toure

Last five results:

  • Hoffenheim 0-1 FC Koln
  • Freiburg 1-1 Hoffenheim
  • Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayern Munich
  • Union Berlin 2-4 Hoffenheim
  • Hoffenheim 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt

Player to watch: Fisnik Asllani

Hoffenheim may be in poor form, but forward Fisnik Asllani is still enjoying an exceptional season in the final third, scoring five times and producing two assists in seven games.

Hoffenheim forward Fisnik Asllani will be a threat on Sunday – Image by IMAGO/Copyright: Eibner

The attacker has netted three times in his last four outings for the club, and he also scored one goal in two games for Kosovo over the October international break.

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An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.