Two sides who could do well with a win square off in round nine of the German Bundesliga as St Pauli play host to Borussia Monchengladbach at the Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday. While Monchengladbach set out in search of their first league win of the campaign, the home side will be looking to snap their run of five consecutive Bundesliga defeats this weekend.
FootballWhispers’ St Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach prediction takes a look at the odds of both teams picking up all three points this weekend.
Contents
- 1 St Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach prediction: A cagey affair expected
- 2 Most recent H2Hs: Results split right down the middle
- 3 St Pauli preview: Aiming for first competitive victory over Monchengladbach since February 2011
- 4 Borussia Monchengladbach preview: Seeking first Bundesliga win since March
- 5 Player to watch — Haris Tabakovic
St Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach prediction: A cagey affair expected
Key stats
- St Pauli and Borussia Monchengladbach are two of the three poorest attacking sides in the league, with six and eight goals scored respectively.
- There have been fewer than three goals scored in four of the most recent five meetings between St Pauli and Monchengladbach, with a 4-4 stalemate in March 2017 being the exception.
- Monchengladbach are unbeaten in five of their last six away games against St Pauli, picking up three wins and two draws since March 1996.
- St Pauli have managed just one win from their most recent eight Bundesliga home games while losing four and claiming three draws since the start of April.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach have stumbled into the new Bundesliga campaign and will be desperate to get their season off and running this weekend. As for St Pauli, they appear to have run out of steam since their flying start to the campaign, having lost each of their most recent four league games.
We expect both sides to take a cautious approach to the game in a bid to avoid dropping more points and we are expecting a tight match to finish all square this weekend.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies back St Pauli this weekend
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The bookmakers have St Pauli down as favourites to come out on top at the Millerntor-Stadion this weekend, as indicated by their 48.8% win probability.
Borussia Monchengladbach boast a solid away record in this fixture, but they have been given a 29.4% chance of picking up the win, while there is a 28.6% possibility of the game ending all square.
Both sides head into the weekend fresh off the back of reaching the DFB Pokal third round, with St Pauli narrowly seeing off Hoffenheim while Monchengladbach brushed aside second-tier Karlsruher.
While we take a deeper look into both teams, you can take a peek at some of FootballWhispers’ best picks and predictions for this weekend’s fixtures in today’s free football betting tips.
Most recent H2Hs: Results split right down the middle
The results have been evenly split between St Pauli and Borussia Monchengladbach across the most recent 10 encounters, with both sides claiming three wins each since February 2002.
Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 stalemate back on April 6, when Ko Itakura and Oladapo Afolayan netted for either side to force a share of the spoils at the Millerntor-Stadion.
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St Pauli preview: Aiming for first competitive victory over Monchengladbach since February 2011
St Pauli booked their spot in the third round of the DFB Pokal on Tuesday, when they edged out Hoffenheim on penalties after a 2-2 draw in normal time at the Millerntor-Stadion.
Head coach Alexander Blessin will hope the cup victory can serve as a springboard for a turnaround in the Bundesliga, where his side have lost each of their last five matches since picking up seven points from the first three games.
This poor run of results has been owing to a drop-off in performance at the attacking end of the pitch, where they have netted just once across their most recent five league games, having scored seven in the first three matches.
St Pauli have picked up seven points from their eight Bundesliga games so far to sit 14th in the league standings, level on points with 15th-placed Augsburg and just three points above the relegation zone.
While St Pauli will be looking to build on their cup victory and return to winning ways in the league, they have struggled for results on home turf, where they have lost four and managed just one win from their last eight league games.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Mets, Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Oppie, Sinani, Kaars & Pereira
Last five games
- St Pauli 2-2 Hoffenheim (St Pauli win on penalties) (DFB Pokal)
- Frankfurt 2-0 St Pauli (Bundesliga)
- St Pauli 0-3 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- Werder Bremen 1-0 St Pauli (Bundesliga)
- St Pauli 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
Borussia Monchengladbach preview: Seeking first Bundesliga win since March
Borussia Monchengladbach picked up a morale-boosting result in midweek when they secured a 3-1 victory over Karlsruher in the DFB Pokal second round.
In a one-sided affair at Borussia Park, Shuto Machino, Nico Elvedi and Haris Tabakovic all found the back of the net to fire the hosts to a comfortable victory and send them through to the third round.
Borussia Monchengladbach now turn their attention to the Bundesliga, where they are the only side yet to taste victory this season and are without a win in 15 consecutive games, losing 10 and claiming five draws since beating Leipzig 1-0 on March 29.
Not only have Monchengladbach conceded the second-highest number of goals in the league this season (18), but their woeful start to the campaign has also been owing to a lack of cutting edge up top, where they have scored just six goals, one fewer than any other side in the division.
Eugen Polanski’s men will be backing themselves to find their feet this weekend as they journey to the Millerntor-Stadion, where they are unbeaten in five of their last six visits, claiming three wins and two draws since March 1996.
Predicted lineup: Nicolas (GK), Sander, Elvedi, Diks, Honorat, Reitz, Engelhardt, Netz, Machino, Stoger & Tabakovic
Last five games
- Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Karlsrusher (DFB Pokal)
- Borussia Monchengladbach 0-3 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
- Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach (Bundesliga)
- Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- Borussia Monchengladbach 4-6 Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
Player to watch — Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic was a standout performer in Borussia Monchengladbach’s 3-1 cup victory over Karlsruher last time out and the Bosnian striker will be one to look out for this weekend.
Tabakovic scored one and set up another to help Monchengladbach cruise past Karlsrusher and has now been involved in six goals and assists across his last seven games for club and country.
The 31-year-old striker should spearhead the visitors’ attack once again, forming the front three with Shuto Machino and Austrian forward Kevin Stoger.