Millerntor-Stadion will come to light when St. Pauli host Borussia Dortmund in the opening round of the new Bundesliga season on Saturday, August 23.
Check out our St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, including correct score, lineups and key statistics.
Also check out other football betting tips for this week, as the qualifying series reaches its playoff round.
Contents
St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: The French side have the upperhand
Key stats
- Dortmund have won seven of the last eight encounters between both sides.
- Dortmund have scored 2+ goals in seven of the last eight encounters between both sides.
- St. Pauli failed to beat Eintracht Norderstedt in the cup last time out.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund’s attacking quality and historical dominance point to them shining away from home. St. Pauli may keep it tight early, but Dortmund’s firepower should see them through.
After reviewing our St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, you can check our other football betting tips today on our website.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund are expected to win
- St. Pauli (Home) – 17/5 (4.40) 22.7%
- Draw – 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- Dortmund (Away) – 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
These odds suggest Dortmund are firm favourites, but St. Pauli’s home edge and the draw option still carry some value.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Genoa vs Lecce predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Dortmund have dominated this fixture
In the last 14 Bundesliga meetings between both sides, Dortmund have won 12, lost one and drawn just once.
The visitors are on a four-match winning streak against the hosts, winning both of their meetings last season.
Germany Bundesliga I 01/03/25
St Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga I 18/10/24
Borussia Dortmund
St Pauli
Germany DFB Pokal 18/01/22
St Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
Club Friendly List 14/07/16
Borussia Dortmund
St Pauli
Europe Friendlies 08/09/15
St Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli preview: Hoping to hold on to great defence
Having earned promotion back to the top flight last season, St. Pauli struggled to hold on to their place in the top division, and were successful in the end, sitting three points ahead of the relegation play-off spot.
Manager Alexander Blessin saw his side struggle for goals last season, scoring just 28 times in the league, at least five fewer than any other team.
However, their strength was in their tight defense, a part Blessin will be hoping they can hold on to for this campaign.
St. Pauli struggled to get past fourth tier side Eintracht Norderstedt in the DFB Pokal first round tie on Saturday, only winning via penalty shoot-out.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj, Wahl, Smith, Nemeth, Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Sinani, Oppie, Laj & Hountondj
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
St Pauli
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
L
VfB Stuttgart
1
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Werder Bremen
0
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
D
Bayer Leverkusen
1
St Pauli
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Holstein Kiel
1
St Pauli
2
Borussia Dortmund Preview: Renewed hope but away blues might linger
Borussia Dortmund will kick off the new campaign with the same target as always, challenging for the Bundesliga crown.
Their season began with a tricky DFB-Pokal tie away to RW Essen, where it took until the 79th minute for Serhou Guirassy to strike the decisive goal in a hard-earned 1-0 win.
Guided by Niko Kovac’s staff, Dortmund’s biggest key hurdle remains sustaining form, particularly in tough away fixtures, and this will be another test of that, but a fresh start.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Ryerson, Anton, Bensebaini, Couto, Gross, Sabitzer, Svensson, Bellingham, Guirassy & Adeyemi
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
W
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
W
Wolfsburg
0
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
UEFA Champions League 15/04/25
W
Barcelona
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Player to watch: Serhou Guirassy
Guirassy stands out as the key man to watch, carrying Dortmund’s biggest attacking threat.
Fresh from scoring the decisive goal in their narrow cup win, the striker’s sharp finishing and intelligent movement make him difficult to contain.
His physical presence adds variety to Dortmund’s frontline, while his ability to turn half-chances into goals could prove decisive. If Dortmund are to break down St. Pauli, Guirassy’s influence will be crucial.