Bundesliga pace-setters Bayern Munich take on St Pauli at the Allianz Arena in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 29 March. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.
Contents
- 1 Bayern Munich vs St Pauli prediction: One-sided contest likely
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern are massive favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Bayern Munich chasing double
- 4 Bayern Munich preview: Upamecano and Min-Jae are out
- 5 St Pauli preview: Three confirmed absentees
- 6 Player to watch – Michael Olise
Bayern Munich vs St Pauli prediction: One-sided contest likely
Key Stats
- St Pauli are the lowest-scoring outfit in the Bundesliga this term with just 20 goals in 26 games, so expect them to toil in the final third against Bayern Munich.
- Bayern Munich have already won to nil on 11 separate occasions in the Bundesliga this season.
- Bayern Munich have been winning an average of 7.00 corners per game in the Bundesliga this term.
- Harry Kane has scored 14 of his 21 Bundesliga goals in home fixtures for Bayern Munich this season.
Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 3-0 St Pauli
Bayern Munich have been scoring an average of 3.30 goals per home game in the Bundesliga this season and Die Roten could be in cruise control again when they host a toothless St Pauli outfit.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern are massive favourites
- HOME: 1/6 (1.17) – 85.7%
- DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Bayern Munich hold a healthy six-point lead at the summit of the Bundesliga and the champions-elect have an 85.7% chance of securing their 20th league win of the campaign at St Pauli’s expense.
St Pauli edged out relegation rivals Hoffenheim (1-0) just before the international break, though they have only a 6.7% chance of producing a repeat result at Bayern. Read more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Bayern Munich chasing double
Bayern Munich beat St Pauli 1-0 back in November thanks to a solitary strike from Jamal Musiala and that was the clubs’ first encounter since 2011.
Germany Bundesliga I 09/11/24
St Pauli
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich preview: Upamecano and Min-Jae are out
Bayern Munich are expected to be without Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-Jae and Joao Palhinha on Saturday. Kingsley Coman and Manuel Neuer should recover from minor ailments, however. Hiroki Ito could start in defence in Upamecano and Min-Jae's absence.
Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Stanisic, Ito, Dier, Guerreiro, Goretzka, Kimmich, Olise, Musiala, Gnabry, Kane
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
0
Bayern Munich
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
D
RB Leipzig
3
Bayern Munich
3
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
Mainz
0
Bayern Munich
3
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
W
Heidenheim
0
Bayern Munich
4
UEFA Champions League 16/04/25
D
Inter Milan
2
Bayern Munich
2
St Pauli preview: Three confirmed absentees
Eric Smith, Adam Dzwigala and Soeren Ahlers are injured though Karol Mets, Sascha Burchert and Simon Zoller could return to the fold on Saturday. St Pauli are five points clear of the relegation playoff position, though they still have plenty of work to do to avoid the drop.
Predicted lineup Vasilj (GK), Nemeth, Wahl, Van der Heyden, Saliakas, Irvine, Afolayan, Treu, Sinani, Weißhaupt, Saad
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
St Pauli
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
L
VfB Stuttgart
1
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Werder Bremen
0
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
D
Bayer Leverkusen
1
St Pauli
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Holstein Kiel
1
St Pauli
2
Player to watch – Michael Olise
Michael Olise had a productive international break with France, scoring and assisting in Les Blues’ 2-0 win over Croatia in the Nations League playoffs, so the winger should return to domestic action with his confidence boosted.

Olise is a key creator
Olise has registered 15 goal contributions (8G, 7A) in 20 Bundesliga starts for Bayern Munich this season and the creative winger ranks second for Die Roten for key passes played per game since August (2.20). Olise can have a big say again from the flank on Saturday.