The UEFA Conference League continues later this week with an intriguing battle between Swiss side St Gallen and Italian powerhouse Fiorentina. As the teams prepare to face off at Kybunpark, let's delve into the key factors that could influence the outcome of this clash.
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St Gallen vs Fiorentina prediction: Fiorentina to secure commanding win
Key stats
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last 4 matches across all competitions
- St Gallen have lost 4 of their last 6 games in all competitions
- Fiorentina have reached the Conference League final in the past two seasons
- St Gallen conceded 6 goals in their opening Conference League match
Correct score prediction: St Gallen 1-3 Fiorentina
Fiorentina's offensive skills have been on show lately, as demonstrated by their 6-0 victory over Lecce in Serie A. Of course, they also won their UEFA Conference League opener 2-0, too. And while St Gallen may find the net at home, we believe Fiorentina's superior quality can help them produce a 3-1 win here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina understandable favourites
- HOME: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.10%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
- AWAY: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.80%
With a 58.80% chance of victory based on the latest odds, Fiorentina are expected to score a commanding victory here. As for St Gallen, their implied probability of victory is far less at 21.10%.
Make sure you check out our football betting tips page to see some predictions relating to other European games!
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: A new chapter about to unfold
Like many teams that are facing each other in the UEFA Conference League this season, St Gallen and Fiorentina have never played one other in an official tournament. That means we have no history to help us form our predictions here, although we have many other statistics to work with.
St Gallen preview: Disastrous start with a 6-2 defeat
St Gallen are winless in their last four games across all competitions. Furthermore, their opening 6-2 defeat in the Conference League against Cercle Brugge showed they are far off the pace right now. However, they did show resilience at home in European qualifiers, which could provide a glimmer of hope – only a glimmer!
Predicted Lineup: Ati-Zigi (GK); Faber, Stanic, Fallci, Yannick; Stevanovic, Quintilla, Gortler; Toma; Mambimbi, Guebbels
Switzerland Super League 13/05/25
D
FC Sion
1
St Gallen
1
Switzerland Super League 10/05/25
L
Winterthur
4
St Gallen
1
Switzerland Super League 06/05/25
D
Yverdon Sport FC
1
St Gallen
1
Switzerland Super League 21/04/25
W
FC Sion
0
St Gallen
1
Switzerland Super League 13/04/25
D
Lugano
1
St Gallen
1
Fiorentina preview: One win from one game
Fiorentina have hit their stride recently, winning their last three matches in all competitions. Their 6-0 domestic thrashing of Lecce demonstrates just how dangerous they can be when the stars align. At the same time, their Conference League experience from reaching two consecutive finals gives them a significant edge.
Predicted Lineup: Terracciano (GK); Kayode, Moreno, Martinez Quarta, Biraghi; Richardson, Adli; Ikone, Beltran, Sottil; Kouame
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Venezia
2
Fiorentina
1
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
D
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Roma
1
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
L
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Fiorentina
2
Player to watch – Yacine Adli (Fiorentina)
Fiorentina’s Yacine Adli has been in impressive form recently, scoring in Fiorentina's Conference League opener against TNS and finding the net against his parent club AC Milan in Serie A. He clearly has an eye for goal and he’s amazingly accurate when he pulls the trigger.
Furthermore, if Palladino opts to rest some regular starters, Adli will undoubtedly be a target man for the Italian squad.