Spain vs Georgia prediction, odds & betting tips – 30/06/2024

🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

Spain scored ten times across two meetings with Georgia in the Euro 2024 qualifiers last year

Familiar foes and Georgia renew acquaintances at the Cologne Stadium to contest a fixture in the Last 16 of Euro 2024 on Sunday, 30 June. Can Georgia’s history makers match the formidable La Roja? Check out our top Euro 2024 betting tips for the showdown below.

Spain vs Georgia prediction: Georgian adventure to end

Key Stats

  • Spain and Georgia shared the same Euro 2024 qualification group and La Roja won both encounters comfortably.
  • Spain plundered ten goals across their two tussles with Georgia last year.
  • Georgia have scored in 100% of their Euro 2024 matches so far and they netted in both meetings with Spain last year
  • Alvaro Morata scored a superb hattrick against Georgia when Spain beat them 7-1 in September 2023.

Correct score prediction: Spain 3-1 Georgia

Spain’s double demolition job on Georgia in the Euro 2024 qualifiers was recent enough to have a telling impact in Sunday’s knockout bout between the teams. Spain earned a 3-1 victory over Georgia when the sides last clashed in November and a repeat of that scoreline looks possible here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Georgia massive underdogs

  • HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.70%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Spain won a perfect three games out of three in Group B without conceding a single goal and La Roja should be able to take command against Georgia on Sunday in a tussle that’s likely to be heavy on technique and low on brawn. Spain are as short as 1/5 to win andhaving hit ten goals in two meetings with Georgia last year, those sharp prices won’t come as too much of a shock.

Georgia, who are a whopping 12/1 to cause a shock on Sunday, were excellent value for their win over a much-changed Portugal side on Wednesday evening, and while they might be good for a consolation effort this weekend, a second miraculous result on the spin will probably be beyond them. Head over to our football betting tips page for more top Euro 2024 predictions and detailed analysis.

Last five H2Hs: Spain and Georgia are familiar foes

Spain and Georgia played each other twice last year when they shared the same Euro 2024 qualification group and La Roja rampaged to victory in each rendezvous. The nations also shared a World Cup qualification group in 2021 and again, Spain won two meetings out of two.

Euro 2023 Qualifying 19/11/23

Spain

Spain

3
Georgia

Georgia

1

Euro 2023 Qualifying 08/09/23

Georgia

Georgia

1
Spain

Spain

7

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/21

Spain

Spain

4
Georgia

Georgia

0

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 28/03/21

Georgia

Georgia

1
Spain

Spain

2

International Match 07/06/16

Spain

Spain

0
Georgia

Georgia

1

Spain preview: Big guns to return

Spain Head Coach Luis de la Fuente rang the changes for La Roja's final group game against Albania, though all the big guns should return against Georgia, including Lamine Yamal, Alvaro Morata, Nico Williams and Unai Simon.

Predicted lineup: Simon (GK), Carvajal, Le Norman, Laporte, Cucurella, Pedri, Rodri, Ruiz, Yamal, Williams, Morata

Euro 2024 14/07/24

W

England

England

1

Spain

Spain

2

Euro 2024 09/07/24

W

France

France

1

Spain

Spain

2

Euro 2024 05/07/24

W

Germany

Germany

1

Spain

Spain

2

Euro 2024 30/06/24

W

Georgia

Georgia

1

Spain

Spain

4

Euro 2024 24/06/24

W

Albania

Albania

0

Spain

Spain

1

Georgia preview: Georgia could be unchanged

Anzor Mekvabishvili came off the bench against Portugal and subsequently picked up a second yellow card of the tournament, ruling him out of Sunday's game through suspension. Georgia could field the same XI that beat Portugal.

Predicted lineup: Mamardashvili – Kakabadze, Gvelesiani, Kashia, Dvali, Lochoshivili, Chakvetadze, Kiteishvili, Kochorashvili, Mikautadze, Kvaratskhelia

Euro 2024 30/06/24

L

Spain

Spain

4

Georgia

Georgia

1

Euro 2024 26/06/24

W

Portugal

Portugal

0

Georgia

Georgia

2

Euro 2024 22/06/24

D

Czech Republic

Czech Republic

1

Georgia

Georgia

1

Euro 2024 18/06/24

L

Turkey

Turkey

3

Georgia

Georgia

1

International Match 09/06/24

W

Montenegro

Montenegro

1

Georgia

Georgia

3

Key duels

Dani Carvajal vs Kvicha Kvaratskhelia

Wily operator Dani Carvajal has been averaging a relatively modest 1.50 tackles and 1.0 interceptions per game for Spain, though the 32-year-old could be in for a more thorough test against Georgian winger wizard Kvaratskhelia, who has completed 2.70 dribbles per appearances.

Alvaro Morata vs Guram Kashia

Alvaro Morata scored his first and only international hat-trick against Georgia in September 2023 and Gruam Kashia played at the heart of the backline that was dismantled on that occasion. The 36-year-old could be up against it again on Sunday.

Nico Williams vs Otar Kakabadze

Georgian wingback Otar Kakabadze might have to abandon any thoughts of rampaging forward on Sunday, with Spain’s Nico Williams likely to keep him overworked defensively. Williams has been in electric form at the Euros, averaging 3.00 dribbles and 2.50 key passes per game.

Player to watch – Giorgi Mamardashvili

Georgian goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili has been one of the players of the tournament so far and his acrobatics and cat-like reflexes carried the Crusaders through their qualification group and into the knockout rounds at Euro 2024.

Spain vs Georgia prediction
Giorgi Mamardashvili has been in sensational form at the Euros – Photo by Icon Sport

Mamardashvili likely to be busy again

Giorgi Mamardashvili made a colossal 11 saves against Croatia on matchday two and a further five saves to frustrate Portugal on matchday three, and the talented 23-year-old is almost certain to be called into action on numerous occasions when he faces Spain on Sunday.

Winner’s next potential opponents

Spain are huge favourites against Georgia, but whichever team wins this match will meet with the hosts Germany in the quarter-finals, which is a tough matchup for any team.

Spain have met with Germany many times before and the current H2H record between these two nations stands at 9-9-8 for Germany. Meanwhile, Georgia have met five times with Germany before and lost all five of their matches.

If Spain or Georgia can get past Germany, they will meet with France, Portugal, Belgium, or Slovenia in the semi-final and if they can get to the final, England or Netherlands are the two main favourites that could be waiting for them.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Spain

Georgia


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.