Southampton vs Arsenal prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/05/2025

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Southampton and Arsenal have nothing to really play for other than pride when they meet at St. Mary's Stadium on Sunday afternoon in their final Premier League game of the season. The hosts will finish rock-bottom of the table regardless of any result, while the Gunners should finish second for the third season in a row, bar an unlikely points and goal swing between them and Manchester City.

Southampton vs Arsenal prediction: Gunners should secure second spot

Key Stats

• Southampton have not won since February, and at home since January.
• Arsenal's 1-0 win at home to Newcastle last time out was their first in six games in all competitions.
• Arsenal are unbeaten in the last three H2Hs, winning 3-1 at home in the last meeting.

Correct score prediction: Southampton 0-3 Arsenal

Arsenal should end the season on a high against lowly Southampton, and we expect them to score plenty of goals against the league's bottom side. A total of 15 goals have been scored in the previous five meetings, at an average of exactly three per match.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the overwhelming favourite

• HOME: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
• DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
• AWAY: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As expected given their vastly superior league position, Arsenal are heavy favourites to win, while a draw and Southampton victory are both rated at under 20% according to the implied probabilities.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Arsenal aiming to extend unbeaten streak

Arsenal are unbeaten in three H2Hs, but they have not always had it all their own way against Southampton. Indeed, two of those three clashes ended in draws, while they also lost away to the Saints 1-0 in 2022.

England Premier League 05/10/24

Arsenal

3

Southampton

1

England Premier League 21/04/23

Arsenal

3

Southampton

3

England Premier League 23/10/22

Southampton

1

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 16/04/22

Southampton

1

Arsenal

0

England Premier League 11/12/21

Arsenal

3

Southampton

0

Southampton preview: Harwood-Bellis injury blow

Taylor Harwood-Bellis has sustained an injury which unfortunately rules him out of this one, while fellow centre-back Jan Bednarek is also struggling. Southampton may not be able to call upon the services of Kyle Walker-Peters either, as he is fighting illness.

Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Sugawara, Stephens, Wood, Bree, Smallbone, Downes, Wellington, Dibling, Fernandes & Sulemana

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Man City

0

Southampton

0

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Leicester

2

Southampton

0

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Fulham

2

Southampton

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

West Ham

1

Southampton

1

England Premier League 12/04/25

L

Aston Villa

3

Southampton

0

Arsenal preview: Havertz to start?

Arsenal could start Kai Havertz for the first time in months after recovering from injury, even though Mikel Merino also returns from suspension. William Saliba and Jurrien Timber have been ruled out through injury, though.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), White, Kiwior, Calafiori, Lewis-Skelly, Partey, Odegaard, Rice, Saka, Havertz & Martinelli

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Liverpool

2

Arsenal

2

UEFA Champions League 07/05/25

L

PSG

2

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Bournemouth

2

Arsenal

1

UEFA Champions League 29/04/25

L

PSG

1

Arsenal

0

England Premier League 23/04/25

D

Crystal Palace

2

Arsenal

2

Player to watch: Kai Havertz

Initially, the diagnosis on Kai Havertz's injury in February was that it would keep him out for the rest of the season. However, the German has made a miraculous recovery and came off the bench in Arsenal's 1-0 victory at home to Newcastle last time out.

Despite being out for so long, Havertz is still remarkably the Gunners' top scorer in the Premier League with nine goals. They have certainly missed him, and could reward him with a start in Arsenal's final game of what has been a difficult season.