Slovenia will be the happier side coming into this fixture having rescued a point against Denmark in their opening match, while Serbia slumped to a 1-0 defeat against England. A win is crucial for the latter who could find themselves out should they lose again.
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Slovenia vs Serbia prediction: Must-win for both sides
Key stats
- Slovenia are yet to win a game at the Euros
- Serbia have never won at the Euros when competing as an independent nation
- The Eagles managed one shot on target in their defeat to England
Pre-game odds and win probability: Serbia tipped to collect their first win
- Home: 16/5 (4.2) – 23.8%
- Draw: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%
- Away: 4/5 (1.8) – 55.6%
This game will make or break either Slovenia or Serbia's dreams of a deep run at Euro 2024. Defeat for Serbia will eliminate them from the competition sitting on zero points, while Slovenia know they still have England to come later in the tournament.
We anticipate this being a cagey affair with so much on the line and we like the idea of under 2.5 goals. It's difficult to call a winner which is why we prefer the goalscoring market, although you could have a dabble at other bets after looking at our free betting tips page.
Last five H2Hs: Little between these two on paper
Slovenia and Serbia have only faced off four times, which may be a surprise but the latter only became their own country by that name in 2006, so their first ever clash came in 2010. It's one win apiece and two draws, so history tells us there's nothing to separate them.
Slovenia preview: A chance to build on their momentum
Matjaz Kek's side did very well to rescue a point after going behind against Denmark last time out which has them sitting in third possessing a great chance of progressing. A win against Serbia would be a huge moment given they've never come out victorious on the continent before.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Janza, Bijol, Drkusic, Karnicnik, Mlakar, Gnezda Cerin, Elsnik, Verbic, Sporar, Sesko
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Slovenia
1
Slovakia
0
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D
Slovenia
0
Slovakia
0
UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24
W
Estonia
0
Slovakia
1
UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24
L
Sweden
2
Slovakia
1
UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24
W
Azerbaijan
1
Slovakia
3
Serbia preview: No slip-ups allowed
Despite having just one shot on target against England, Serbia will feel they have positives to take from the narrow defeat against one of the tournament's favourites. However, they are the only side in the group with zero points, so a win is necessary.
Predicted lineup: Rajkovic (GK), Milenkovic, Pavlovic, Veljkovic, Mladenovic, Lukic, Ilic, Tadic, Milinkovic Savic, Mitrovic, Vlahovic
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Austria
0
Serbia
2
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D
Austria
1
Serbia
1
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
D
Denmark
0
Serbia
0
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
D
Switzerland
1
Serbia
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
L
Spain
3
Serbia
0
Player to watch: Sergej Milinkovic Savic
It was a slightly disappointing display from Sergej Milinkovic Savic against England, although he was still showing himself for the ball and looking to make things happen at every opportunity. He was starring in Saudi Arabia last season and will be crucial if Serbia are to get out of this group.
Serbia's creative spark
The former Lazio midfielder put up 29 goal involvements for Al-Hilal last term – the same team as countrymen Alexander Mitrovic – and that link-up will be crucial for them to get over Slovenia who are 18 places below them in the FIFA rankings.
The latest Tweets from each camp
Slovenia
#SrceBije za Slovenijo ❤️??@luka7doncic | @kzs_si pic.twitter.com/7GjovzANAd
— NZS | FA Slovenia (@nzs_si) June 20, 2024
Serbia
?️: ????? | #SLOSRB
Селектор Драган Стојковић и репрезентативац Александар Митровић поручили су на конференцији за медије пред важан меч против Словеније у Минхену да ће Србија учинити све да освоји прва три бода на #EURO2024.
?: https://t.co/ZMmrXiSr47 pic.twitter.com/UYHU7J7X24
— Fudbalski savez Srbije | FA of Serbia (@FSSrbije) June 20, 2024