Malmo are in full control of their UEFA Europa League (UEL) play-off tie after beating Sigma 3-0 in the first leg in Sweden last week. Now, the Swedes head to the Andruv Stadion on Thursday evening to play the second leg in the Czech Republic.
There is a lot at stake for both teams, as the overall winner over the two legs will book their place in the league phase of the UEL. Malmo are undoubtedly the favourites as they hold a three-goal advantage heading into the second leg, but Sigma will not want to make it easy for their opponents on home soil.
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Sigma vs Malmo prediction: Swedes should seal place in league phase
Key stats
- Sigma have now lost three of their last four games in total in all competitions.
- Malmo are unbeaten in three matches in total across all competitions.
- Malmo's previous three wins have been to nil.
Correct score prediction: Sigma 0-2 Malmo
Given their superior form and the quality that they showed in the first leg, we are backing Malmo to win again in the Czech Republic. We are also backing the visitors to keep another clean sheet, as they have done in the previous three matches in all competitions.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sigma only slight favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Sigma are only just favourites with bookmakers to win on home soil, only 0.4% ahead of a Malmo victory on their travels. A draw is also rated at over 30%, suggesting that the outcome is a tough one to call.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page, as well as our Europa League predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: First leg was maiden meeting between two teams
The first leg last week represented the first-ever time that both Sigma and Malmo had played against each other in a competitive meeting. Of course, Malmo won that one 3-0 on home soil, and so hold a huge advantage going into the second leg.
UEFA Europa League Qualifying 21/08/25
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma preview: Four injuries for hosts to deal with
Sigma have injured quartet Dele Israel, Yunusa Muritala, Jan Fiala and Jan Kliment on the treatment table ahead of this clash. The hosts will have to look at other players to fill in the gaps in the starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Koutny (GK); Hadas, Sylla, Kral, Slama, Spacil, Kostadinov, Michez, Dolzinkov, Tkac & Vasulin
Czechia First League 16/08/25
W
FC Trinity Zlin
0
Sigma Olomouc
1
Czechia First League 10/08/25
L
Sparta Prague
1
Sigma Olomouc
0
Czechia First League 02/08/25
W
Slovan Liberec
1
Sigma Olomouc
2
Czechia First League 26/07/25
D
Dukla Praha
0
Sigma Olomouc
0
Czechia First League 20/07/25
W
Slovacko
0
Sigma Olomouc
1
Malmo preview: Only a couple of long-term injuries
Both Erik Botheim and Johan Dahlin are long-term absentees for Malmo with injury. Otherwse, the visitors have a fully fit squad to choose from.
Predicted lineup: Ellborg (GK); Larsen, Jansson, Duric, Busanello, Soumah, Johnsen, Skogmar, Bolin, Christiansen & Ekong
Sweden Allsvenskan 11/05/25
W
Degerfors
1
Malmo FF
4
Sweden Allsvenskan 05/05/25
L
Brommapojkarna
2
Malmo FF
1
Sweden Allsvenskan 29/04/25
W
Osters IF
0
Malmo FF
2
Sweden Allsvenskan 23/04/25
L
Hammarby
2
Malmo FF
0
Sweden Allsvenskan 18/04/25
D
Sirius
1
Malmo FF
1
Player to watch: Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic managed to score a brace in the first leg to help Malmo on their way to a 3-0 win at home to Sigma. He was well-rested in domestic action over the weekend as he started on the substitutes bench, and so will be fresh to help kill the tie for good in the second leg.