Scotland vs Iceland prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/06/2025
Scotland have been backed to edge out Iceland at Hampden Park. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Scotland to win

Scotland have won three of their last four matches, while Iceland have lost four of their last five games.

Scotland lock horns with Iceland in an international friendly fixture at Hampden Park on Friday, 6 June. Read our free betting tips for the friendly clash below.

Scotland vs Iceland prediction: Hosts could have the edge in Glasgow.

Key Stats

  • Scotland have won each of their last four meetings with Iceland, scoring twice on each occasion.
  • Six of Iceland’s last seven games have produced goals at both ends.
  • Five of Scotland’s last eight assignments have featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Scott McTominay has scored six goals in his last eight appearances at club level for Napoli.

Correct score prediction: Scotland 2-1 Iceland

Iceland have lost a dismal four of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.60 goals per game along the way and they could be outgunned again in Glasgow.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Iceland installed as underdogs

  • HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Scotland have won three of their last four games overall and with home advantage to enjoy on Friday, they offer plenty of value at 13/20 in the match result market.

Iceland, who are 15/4 underdogs, were beaten twice by Kosovo in the Nations League in March and they were beaten 4-1 by Wales when they last visited the UK back in November. View our free football tips page for more predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: First meeting since 2009

Scotland have won each of their four previous meetings with Iceland, though the nations haven’t crossed paths since 2009.

Scotland preview: Doig, Barron and Miller looking for first caps

Ryan Porteous, Greg Taylor, Liam Cooper, Ryan Christie, Kenny McLean, Stuart Armstrong, Ryan Jack and Lyndon Dykes are among Scotland's absentees. Josh Doig, Connor Barron, Andy Irving, Lennon Miller, and Kieron Bowie will be among those hoping to win their first caps.

Predicted lineup: Gunn (GK), Ralston, Souttar, Hanley, Robertson, Gilmour, Ferguson, McGinn, Barron, McTominay, Adams

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

L

Greece

Greece

3

Scotland

Scotland

0

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

W

Greece

Greece

0

Scotland

Scotland

1

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

W

Poland

Poland

1

Scotland

Scotland

2

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

W

Croatia

Croatia

0

Scotland

Scotland

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

D

Portugal

Portugal

0

Scotland

Scotland

0

Iceland preview: Experienced line-up likely

Iceland will be without Alfons Sampsted, Daníel Leó Grétarsson, Hjörtur Hermannsson and Mikael Anderson among others this week. Young keeper Lúkas Petersson is the only uncapped player in a largely experienced Icelandic squad.

Predicted lineup: Valdimarsson (GK), Lunddal, Palsson, Ingason, Jóhannesson, Willumsson, Helgason, Traustason, Þórsteinsson, Gudmundsson, Oskarsson

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

L

Kosovo

Kosovo

3

Iceland

Iceland

1

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Kosovo

Kosovo

2

Iceland

Iceland

1

UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24

L

Wales

Wales

4

Iceland

Iceland

1

UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24

W

Montenegro

Montenegro

0

Iceland

Iceland

2

UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24

L

Tu00fcrkiye

Tu00fcrkiye

4

Iceland

Iceland

2

Player to watch – Scott McTominay

Attacking midfielder Scott McTominay should have a kick in his step following his Serie A winning exploits in Italy with Napoli and the reliable goal-getter should be a decent anytime goalscorer candidate against Iceland.

Scotland vs Iceland prediction
Scott McTominay is one of Scotland's biggest goal threats. (Photo by Imago)

McTominay is playing with confidence

McTominay finished his club campaign with a run of six goals in eight games and the 28-year-old, who has bagged 12 goals for Scotland, should be a real handful again in the final third against Iceland at Hampden Park.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.