Scotland vs Finland prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/06/2024
Scotland's Scott McTominay following the international friendly match at Hampden Park, - Photo by Icon Sport
Scotland vs Finland prediction
Scotland's Scott McTominay following the international friendly match at Hampden Park, – Photo by Icon Sport

Scotland face the Euro 2024 hosts Germany in the opening game of the tournament in Group A so Friday's friendly against Finland provides the final chance for Steve Clarke to make his decision on which players he wants to take with him this summer.

Scotland have never lost any of their six previous encounters with Finland with the pair first meeting in 1964 and most recently in 1998.

Regular right-backs Nathan Patterson and Aaron Hickey failed to recover from injury in time to be a part of Steve Clarke's squad and the same goes for Lewis Ferguson and Lyndon Dykes.

Scotland vs Finland prediction: Will Scotland make it back-to-back wins?

Key Stats

  • Scotland have won four of their previous six encounters with Finland and beat Gibraltar 2-0 earlier in the week.
  • Finland have lost three of their last six international matches, going down 4-1 in Wales back in March.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Scotland's last six outings.
  • Each of Finland's last six matches have ended with at least three goals being scored.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Scotland the bookmakers' pick

  • HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
  • DRAW: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%
  • AWAY: 47/10 (5.70) – 17.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Scotland dominate

The Tartan Army have won three and drawn two of their last five games against Finland with the pair playing out a 1-1 draw in their last head-to-heads back in 1998.

Scotland preview: Have plenty of experience

Scotland don't have a lot of goals in their attack and will be relying on the likes of Scott McTominay, John McGinn, Ryan Christie, Stuart Armstrong and Andrew Robertson supporting the lone striker at Euro 2024.

Striker Ché Adams does have six goals in 30 caps for his country and heads to Germany on the back of an impressive scoring season with Southampton in which he netted 18 times in 46 appearances across all competitions.

Predicted lineup: Clark (GK), Hanley, Robertson, McCrorie, Porteous, Forrest, McLean, McGinn, Christie, Gilmour & Shankland

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

L

Greece

Greece

3

Scotland

Scotland

0

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

W

Greece

Greece

0

Scotland

Scotland

1

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

W

Poland

Poland

1

Scotland

Scotland

2

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

W

Croatia

Croatia

0

Scotland

Scotland

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

D

Portugal

Portugal

0

Scotland

Scotland

0

Finland preview: No home-based players

Teemu Pukki leads the attack for Finland with a record 40 goals in 120 caps and Venezia's Joel Pohjanpalo also knows where the back of the net is, something for Scotland to watch out for.

Robin Lod will play a key role in midfield but the visitors are light in this area with Glen Kamara, Daniel Håkans, Fredrik Jensen, Rasmus Schüller and Robert Taylor all missing out on the latest squad selection for one reason or another.

Predicted lineup: Hradecky (GK), Soiri, R. Jensen, Hoskonen, Lod, Niskanen, Pukki, Nissilä, Suhonen, Källman & Antman

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25

D

Lithuania

Lithuania

2

Finland

Finland

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Malta

Malta

0

Finland

Finland

1

UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24

L

Greece

Greece

2

Finland

Finland

0

UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24

L

Rep of Ireland

Rep of Ireland

1

Finland

Finland

0

UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24

L

England

England

3

Finland

Finland

1

Player to watch – John McGinn

John McGinn is one of the most experienced players in the Scotland squad for Euro 2024 with 65 caps and 18 goals for his country, only defender Andrew Robertson and goalkeeper Craig Gordon have earned more caps.

McGinn is going to be crucial to Scotland's success at Euro 2024, providing the energy and link between midfield and attack. The 29-year-old heads to Germany on the back of yet another impressive season with Aston Villa in which he and his teammates secured Champions League football.

John McGinn player to watch
John McGinn of Aston Villa shouts instructions to team members – Photo by Icon Sport

Provides the driving force in the heart of Scotland's midfield

Key your eye on McGinn in Friday's friendly against Finland as we're expecting a big performance from the goalscoring midfielder.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Scotland

Finland


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.