Sassuolo vs Parma prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/01/2026
Fabio Grosso watches on - IMAGO / ABACAPRESS
🔥 Our Hot tip

Total goals: Under 2.5

There has been under 2.5 goals in five of the last seven meetings between the two sides.

Sassuolo will be looking to bounce back to winning ways when they take on Parma in the Serie A on Saturday at the Mapei Stadium.

View our Sassuolo vs Parma predictions below.

Sassuolo vs Parma prediction: Defence worry for the home side

Key stats

  • Sassuolo are without a win in their last three games.
  • The Black and Greens have not kept a clean sheet in their last six games.
  • Parma have been involved in under 2.5 goals in four of their last five fixtures.
  • Sassuolo have conceded first in five of their last six games.

Correct score prediction: Sassuolo 1-1 Parma

Sassuolo will be looking to bounce back to winning ways and kick-start the New Year with a bang.

The two sides are separated by six points in the Serie A table, with the promoted Neroverdi are shock outsiders for European qualification.

Parma are 15th in the table with 17 points from 16 games, but they are heading into this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting 1-0 win against Fiorentina.

Sassuolo are struggling to keep a clean sheet, and we expect the visitors to score as well, with both teams sharing a point each.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sassuolo favourites

HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%

DRAW: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%

AWAY: 3/1 (4.0) – 25%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Thus, we can see that Sassuolo are big favourites for this game. The home side have won twice in their last seven games, but bookmakers have backed them to win at home.

They are priced at 10/11 (1.91) with 52.4% chances of winning the game.

However, Parma have won two of their last three away games, and hence a draw at 12/5 (3.4) with 29.4% chances of probability could be a tempting choice.

Sassuolo are struggling to keep a clean sheet and BTTS – Yes at 10/11 (1.91), with 52.4% chance of landing, is tempting.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Sassuolo vs Parma predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Parma hold slight advantage

In the last six meetings between the two sides, Parma have won three times, while Sassuolo have won just once.

Interestingly, the two sides last met in 2020-21, and have not faced each other this season so far.

Europe Friendlies 02/08/23

Parma

Parma

1
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

0

Europe Friendlies 01/08/21

Parma

Parma

0
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

3

Italy Serie A 16/05/21

Parma

Parma

1
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

3

Italy Serie A 17/01/21

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

1
Parma

Parma

1

Sassuolo preview: Can they bounce back to winning ways?

Sassuolo have a record of six wins, four draws and seven losses from 17 games, with 22 points.

At home, they have lost four games, and won three, and they should look to improve that record.

Woyo Coulibaly is unavailable as he is representing his country, Mali, at the Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco.

Domenico Berardi (muscle), Yeferson Paz (hip), Edoardo Pieragnolo (knee), Daniel Boloca (knee) and Filippo Romagna (calf) are all out injured.

Predicted lineups: Muric (GK), Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig, Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone, Volpato, Pinamonti & Lauriente

Last five fixtures

  • Bologna 1-1 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 0-1 Torino
  • AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina
  • Como 2–0 Sassuolo

Parma preview: Can they make it two wins a row?

The visitors may have picked up only four wins from 16 games, but there are signs of encouragement.

After a disastrous start to the season, where they picked up only one victory in the opening 11 games, three more wins have come in Gialloblu’s past five matches.

Matija Frigan (knee), Abdoulaye Ndiaye (groin) and Zion Suzuki (finger) are currently out injured for Parma, and will miss the tie.

Predicted lineups: Corvi (Gk), Del Prato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Ondrejka, Benedyczak & Pellegrino

Last five matches:

  • Parma 1-0 Fiorentina
  • Parma 0-1 Lazio 
  • Pisa 0-1 Parma 
  • Bologna 2-1 Parma
  • Parma 0-2 Udinese 

Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino

The Argentine forward has scored four goals and registered one assist in the Serie A for Parma this season.

However, two of his goals have come away from home against Verona, and Parma will hope he can repeat the same against Sassuolo.

Sassuolo vs Parma
Mateo Pellegrino in action for Parma – photo by IMAGO / Goal Sports Images

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.