The struggling Fiorentina will take a trip to the Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolore to face Sassuolo in the Serie A on Saturday, with the visitors still looking for their first win of the season.
The host have been showing some recent promise before their last game, with two wins, two losses and one draw. However, their most recent Serie A outing resulted in a disappointing 2-0 defeat away to Como.
Conversely, the Viola are experiencing a full-blown crisis in the league, having failed to record any victory so far this season. They suffered a 1-0 home defeat to AEK Athens in the UEFA Conference League and lost their league game 2-0 to Atalanta.
Read our Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction: Narrow win for the host
Key statistics
- BTTS has been played in four of their last five meetings.
- Sassuolo have won three of their last five home meetings against Fiorentina.
- First-half draws have been played in two of their last five meetings.
Correct score prediction: Sassuolo 2-1 Fiorentina
Considering Fiorentina’s ongoing slump and Sassuolo's tendency to perform better at home, especially in this fixture, we predict a narrow home victory. The home team, despite their inconsistency, have performed well against Fiorentina at the Mapei Stadium.
Furthermore, the visitors’ poor form and lack of goal-scoring confidence away from Florence make them vulnerable. We believe Fiorentina’s struggle will continue and we are predicting a 2-1 victory for the home side in this game.
Pre-match odds and win probability: No clear favourite
- Home: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.0%
- Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- Away: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
This is a very evenly balanced game, with both Sassuolo and Fiorentina priced at 2.63, giving each an implied 38.0% chance of taking all three points. The draw is listed at 3.25 (30.8%), reflecting how closely matched the two sides are heading into the game.
Most recent head-to-head: Tight record
The last five competitive meetings between Sassuolo and Fiorentina show a slightly more positive record for the Viola, with three wins and two draws. However, Sassuolo have won three of their last five home meetings against the Viola. The last meeting at Sassuolo saw the home team win 1-0 in January 2024, while the other meeting ended in a massive 5-1 win for Fiorentina in April 2024.
Italy Serie A 28/04/24
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Italy Serie A 06/01/24
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 02/06/23
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 07/01/23
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Italy Serie A 26/02/22
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
After reviewing our key Sassuolo vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Sassuolo preview: Absences continue to mount
Fabio Grosso’s side is already without a long list of players, including Domenico Berardi (muscle), Edoardo Pieragnolo (knee), Aster Vranckx, Daniel Boloca (knee) and Filippo Romagna (calf).
Also, Stefano Turati (wrist), Laurs Skjellerup (muscle) and Yeferson Paz (hip) are all expected to stay sidelined. Luca Lipani also remains a doubt as he recovers from illness, adding to Sassuolo’s growing injury concerns.
Predicted lineup: Muric (GK), Walukiewicz, Izdes, Muharemovic, Doig, Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone, Volpato, Pinamonti & Lauriente
Last five fixtures
- 28.11.25 – Como 2–0 Sassuolo
- 24.11.25 – Sassuolo 2–2 Pisa
- 09.11.25 – Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo
- 03.11.25 – Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa
- 30.10.25 – Cagliari 1–2 Sassuolo
Fiorentina preview: Key players are absent
For Fiorentina, they will have to do without Martin Pongracic, who serves a suspension after accumulating five yellow cards. The Viola also face injury setbacks, with Tariq Lamptey sidelined due to a knee problem and Robin Gosens out with a thigh injury.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Comuzzo, Mari, Ranieri, Dodo, Mandragora, Fagioli, Sohm, Parisi, Kean & Gudmundsson
Last five fixtures
- 30.11.25 – Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina
- 27.11.25 – Fiorentina 0–1 AEK Athens
- 22.11.25 – Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus
- 09.11.25 – Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina
- 06.11.25 – Mainz 2–1 Fiorentina
Player to watch: Andrea Pinamonti
Andrea Pinamonti is the player to watch in this encounter, being the most potent attacking threat and the most influential player for Sassuolo. The winger is having a solid season despite the team’s inconsistent results, leading the team in goal contributions.
Pinamonti has scored four goals this season, showing his ability to both finish and create opportunities. His direct involvement in Sassuolo’s attack will be essential if the home side are to secure the victory.