Sassuolo will host Atalanta at the Mapei Stadium – Citta del Tricolore on Sunday, with the home side looking to cause an upset against one of Serie A’s most consistent teams.
The home team continue to exceed expectations, sitting comfortably in the top half of Serie A and closer to the European spots than the drop zone at the start of this round.
Fabio Grosso’s team reacted strongly to their heavy 5-0 loss against table-toppers Inter Milan by securing consecutive victories over Udinese (2-1) and Hellas Verona FC (3-0).
Another win would give the Neroverdi three straight league triumphs. However, this challenge appears steep, as they have struggled against top opponents.
The away team, on the other hand, arrive brimming with confidence. Alongside three consecutive Serie A wins, they achieved a remarkable European turnaround by overturning a two-goal first-leg deficit to knock out Borussia Dortmund 4-3 on aggregate and book their place in the UEFA Champions League round of 16.
Under Raffaele Palladino, Atalanta have claimed five victories from their last six competitive fixtures, moving firmly back into contention for a top-four finish, just five points off the pace.
Playing away to a fellow top-half side could actually suit La Dea, who have lost only one of their last six away trips in the Serie A.
Read our Sassuolo vs Atalanta predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
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Sassuolo vs Atalanta prediction: Home team to get a narrow win
Key statistics
- Sassuolo have not lost in three of their last five home clashes with Atalanta and both teams have scored in three of those encounters.
- Their last three meetings between the sides have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
- Sassuolo and Atalanta have won four of their last five Serie A games.
Correct score prediction: Sassuolo 2-2 Atalanta
Both teams are in good form in their last five games and we expect a highly entertaining encounter where both teams will test each other's defences.
We predict a 2-2 draw due to how potent both teams have been in attack in their last five games. While Sassuolo are currently on a positive run, the high-pressing system employed by Fabio Grosso often forces errors from teams that try to play out from the back.
We believe both teams will find the net, given their recent wins in their last Serie A games, and we believe they will share the spoils, with lots of goals expected in the contest.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Atalanta narrow favourites on the road
- Home: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- Away: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Sassuolo are priced at 3.70 odds, giving them a 27.0% implied chance of claiming victory at home. The draw is available at 3.50 odds, suggesting a 28.6% probability of the sides sharing the spoils.
Atalanta are slight favourites at 1.95 odds, which translates to a 51.3% implied chance of securing all three points away from home.
Most recent head-to-head: Visitors hold the advantage
The record between these two clubs has been tight, but there has been a strong dominance for the side from Atalanta in recent years.
Looking at their last five encounters in Serie A and the Coppa Italia, Atalanta have secured three victories while Sassuolo have managed two wins.
The most recent clash in late 2025 resulted in a 3-0 win for the home team, which followed a similarly dominant 3-0 scoreline for the visitors earlier that same year.
Italy Serie A 09/11/25
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Italy Serie A 17/02/24
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Coppa Italia 03/01/24
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Italy Serie A 20/08/23
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 04/02/23
Sassuolo
Atalanta
After reviewing our key Sassuolo vs Atalanta predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Sassuolo preview: Defensive concerns for the hosts
Sassuolo will be without Edoardo Pieragnolo and Fali Cande due to injury, limiting options in defence. Sebastian Walukiewicz is suspended, while midfielder Daniel Boloca is also sidelined, reducing depth in the centre of the park.
Predicted lineup: Muric (GK), Woyo Coulibaly, Romagna, Idzes, Garcia, Thorstvedt, Lipani, Kone, Berardi, Pinamonti & Lauriente
Last five fixtures
- 20.02.26 – Sassuolo 3–0 Verona (Serie A)
- 15.02.26 – Udinese 1–2 Sassuolo (Serie A)
- 08.02.26 – Sassuolo 0–5 Inter (Serie A)
- 31.01.26 – Pisa 1–3 Sassuolo (Serie A)
- 25.01.26 – Sassuolo 1–0 Cremonese (Serie A)
Atalanta preview: Attacking absentees for the visitors
Atalanta are missing two key attacking players, with Charles De Ketelaere ruled out through injury. Forward Giacomo Raspadori is also unavailable, forcing adjustments in the final third.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Hien, Kolasinac, Bellanova, De Roon, Pasalic, Zappacosta, Sulemana, Zalewski & Krstovic
Last five fixtures
- 25.02.26 – Atalanta 4–1 Borussia Dortmund (Champions League)
- 22.02.26 – Atalanta 2–1 Napoli (Serie A)
- 17.02.26 – Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Atalanta (Champions League)
- 14.02.26 – Lazio 0–2 Atalanta (Serie A)
- 09.02.26 – Atalanta 2–1 Cremonese (Serie A)
Player to watch: Armand Lauriente
Armand Lauriente has been one of the goal poachers for Sassuolo this season. The midfielder has scored four goals and provided five assists and he has consistently been one of the most dangerous players on the pitch for the host.
He has the ability to pinpoint the right pass to his attackers and also has the ability to get into tight spaces and his finishing is top-notch. He has scored one goal and provided two assists in his last two games and will be hoping to continue his good form.