Three points will be at stake as Sao Paulo and Gremio clash at Estádio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo on Thursday. View our free Sao Paulo vs Gremio predictions below.
Contents
Sao Paulo vs Gremio predictions: Goals expected to flow
Key stats
- The last five encounters between these teams went north of the 2.5-goal marker.
- Five of Sao Paulo's last six games featured goals at both ends.
- Gremio have no wins on the road this season (D1, L5).
- While Sao Paulo won four of their last five matches, Gremio suffered eight defeats in their last 11 league games.
Correct score prediction: Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio
Three of Sao Paulo's last five matches ended 2-1, and two of their last four victories were by this score line.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are clear favourites
- Sao Paulo: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
- Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- Gremio: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Gremio have been one of the worst road teams in the Serie A this season. They are winless in six away games so far, with a draw and five losses.
Bearing Gremio's away struggles in mind, Sao Paulo are the expected winners at 3/5 (1.60). Teams with these odds generally have a 62.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Sao Paulo vs Gremio predictions.
Furthermore, recent skirmishes between these teams have mostly been on the high-scoring side, as their last five encounters featured at least three goals.
On that note, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 21/20 (2.05). That one has a 48.8% chance of landing.
Last five H2Hs: Can Gremio get their first win here in over a decade?
The last time Sao Paulo lost to Gremio at this stadium was in September 2013. They are unbeaten in Gremio's last 10 trips, with four wins and six draws. In the last five meetings between these outfits, Sao Paulo have three wins, while Gremio have two.
Brazil Serie A 21/10/23
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 18/10/23
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 04/06/23
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 02/12/21
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 15/08/21
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Team news and form guide
Sao Paulo: Looking to bounce back from last weekend's defeat
Sao Paulo will not be able to call upon the services of Alan Franco, as the former Atlanta United defender was sent off in their previous match. There are other absentees for the first, including Pablo Maia, João Moreira, Giuliano Galoppo and Juan.
Predicted lineup: Rafael (GK), Welington, Nestor, Arboleda, Vinicius, Gustavo, Alisson, Ferreira, Moura, Luciano & Calleri.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Palmeiras
1
Sao Paulo
0
Copa Libertadores 06/05/25
W
Alianza Lima
0
Sao Paulo
2
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
D
Fortaleza
0
Sao Paulo
0
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Nautico
1
Sao Paulo
2
Brazil Serie A 26/04/25
D
Ceara
1
Sao Paulo
1
Gremio: Eyeing their first away win of the season
Gremio will have to do without Walter Kanneman, who received a straight red in their 2-0 loss to Cruzeiro last week. Diego Costa (muscle), Lucas Milla (ACL), Andre Henrique (ankle), and Jhonata Robert (knee) are in the recovery room.
Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Pedro, Martins, Edward, Reinaldo, Villasanti, Dodi, Pavon, Edenilson, Nunes & Cristaldo.
Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
D
Bragantino
1
Gremio
1
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
D
Atletico Grau
0
Gremio
0
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Santos
0
Gremio
1
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
L
CSA
3
Gremio
2
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
D
Vitoria
1
Gremio
1
Player to watch: Luciano
While Luciano struggles to find the net when Sao Paulo are on the road, he has no difficulty scoring at Estádio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo. In fact, the former Panathinaikos forward was on the scoresheet in Sao Paulo's last three home games, and his last four goals for the club were at this stadium.