Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting tips 05/10/2024
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Cuiaba have blanked in eight consecutive matches

All eyes will be on Arena Pantanal as Cuiaba and Sao Paulo draw swords in a Brazilian Serie A clash on Saturday, 5 October. View our free Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo predictions below.

Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo predictions: One team to blank

Key stats

  • Cuiaba are currently on a nine-match winless streak across all competitions (D2, L7).
  • Interestingly, the hosts did not score a single goal in their last eight games.
  • Three of the last four clashes between these teams went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
  • Fewer than three goals were scored in seven of Cuiaba's last eight games, and in six of Sao Paulo's last eight matches.

Correct score prediction: Cuiaba 0-1 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo won five of their last six league matches, and three of those victories were by a 1-0 scoreline. Additionally, Cuiaba lost four of their last six matches by the same scoreline.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Sao Paulo

  • HOME:19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • DRAW:9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
  • AWAY:11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Things have not gone swimmingly for Cuiaba in recent months. They are without a win in their last nine games and have not scored a single goal in their last eight matches.

By comparison, Sao Paulo have fared better, winning five of their last eight Serie A games. With that in mind, Sao Paulo are the expected winners at 11/8 (2.38). Teams with these odds generally have a 42.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo predictions.

We have also established that both teams have been involved in a lot of low-scoring games. Given that three of the last four meetings between these teams went below the 2.5-goal line, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 8/15 (1.53). That one has a 65.2% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: An evenly contested encounter

Cuiaba and Sao Paulo have met seven times since Cuiaba were first promoted to the Serie A in 2021, and four of those meetings ended in stalemates. Despite being the favourites, Sao Paulo have won just one of the last seven skirmishes between these outfits (D4, L2).

Brazil Serie A 20/06/24

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0
Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Brazil Serie A 26/11/23

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0
Cuiaba

Cuiaba

0

Brazil Serie A 22/07/23

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

2
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 04/09/22

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 15/05/22

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Cuiaba preview: Hoping to halt their winless streak

It is not a worrisome case for Cuiaba on the injury front ahead of this encounter, as only the duo of Felipe Augusto (muscle injury) and Andre Luís (back injury) have been ruled out for this match.

Predicted lineup: Walter (GK), Ramon, Empereur, Alves, Alexandre, Mineiro, Sobral, Lacerda, Fernandes, Sauer & Pitta.

Brazil Serie B 11/05/25

L

Operario PR

Operario PR

3

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

2

Brazil Serie B 06/05/25

D

CRB

CRB

1

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Brazil Serie B 27/04/25

W

Ferroviaria SP

Ferroviaria SP

0

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Brazil Serie B 22/04/25

D

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Brazil Serie B 15/04/25

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

2

Sao Paulo preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time in six weeks

Jonathan Calleri and Alan Franco will serve their domestic suspensions in this match. Five other members of the team have been ruled out of this contest because of injuries: Michel Araujo, Joao Moreira, Aldemir Ferreira, Patrick, Alisson, and Pablo Maia.

Predicted lineup: Rafael (GK), Rafinha, Vinicius, Arboleda, Welington, Bobadilla, Gustavo, Rato, Luciano, Moura & Erick.

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

L

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Copa Libertadores 06/05/25

W

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 03/05/25

D

Fortaleza

Fortaleza

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Copa do Brasil 30/04/25

W

Nautico

Nautico

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 26/04/25

D

Ceara

Ceara

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Player to watch: Walter

Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo predictions
Photo by IMAGO

With Cuiaba failing to score in their last eight matches, they have had to rely on Walter more and more in recent weeks. Despite his best efforts however, the former Corinthians shot-stopper kept just one clean sheet in his last 17 appearances for the club. Considering Walter did not concede in his last two clashes with Sao Paulo, it will be interesting to see how he fares this weekend.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed