Sao Paulo vs Criciuma prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/06/2024

Sao Paulo will be determined to harness home advantage when they take on Criciuma at the MorumBIS in Brazil’s Serie A on Friday, 28 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Sao Paulo vs Criciuma prediction: Hosts could be worth opposing

Key Stats

  • Sao Paulo have failed to win each of their last four matches in Serie A.
  • Criciuma are in the midst of a three-game unbeaten streak, which included two wins.
  • 100% of Criciuma’s last six fixtures in the league have featured goals at both ends.
  • Criciuma scored exactly twice in four of their last five Serie A assignments.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Criciuma priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 12/25 (1.48) – 67.6%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Sao Paulo’s form has dipped of late and their 4-1 loss at Vasco da Gama last time out pointed to a possible loss of confidence in their camp. Despite their poor form, Sao Paulo are 12/25 favourites to claim three points at Criciuma’s expense this week.

The visitors have put together a three-match unbeaten run in Serie A however, while wins were also secured by Criciuma in two of their last three tests on the road. Criciuma are a massive 6/1 to win on Friday and if you’re on the lookout for attractive Brazilian football predictions and odds, check out our betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: First encounter in a decade

Sao Paulo and Criciuma haven’t met in any capacity since 2014 and this week’s tussle between the teams will be their first encounter in ten years.

Brazil Serie A 02/11/14

Criciuma

Criciuma

1
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Copa Sudamericana 05/09/14

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Criciuma

Criciuma

0

Copa Sudamericana 29/08/14

Criciuma

Criciuma

2
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 02/08/14

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1
Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Sao Paulo preview: Several stars still missing

Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, James Rodriguez and Damian Bobadilla are on international duty while Joao Moreira, Pablo Maia and Rafinha are injured. Rodrigo Nestor is a slight doubt, meanwhile.

Predicted lineup: Jandrei (GK), Vinicius, Costa, Franco, Patryck, Gustavo, Galoppo, Moura, Nestro, Calleri, Silva

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Gremio

Gremio

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 06/07/24

W

Bragantino

Bragantino

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Criciuma preview: Defender Figueiredo suspended

Felipe Vizeu is in the treatment room with a thigh problem while Wilker Angel is competing at the Copa America. Tobias Figueiredo is suspended having accumulated too many yellow cards.

Predicted lineup: Gustavo (GK), Jonathan, Rodrigo, Maia, Hermes, Trauco, Barreto, Matheusinho, Ronald, Bolasie, Eder

Brazil Serie A 20/07/24

L

Flamengo

Flamengo

2

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

L

Corinthians

Corinthians

2

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

D

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

W

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Player to watch – Barreto

Barreto has been a midfield mainstay for Criciuma this season and the experienced campaign has scored twice and claimed one assist in nine appearances in Serie A so far.

Sao Paulo vs Criciuma prediction
Barreto is a tackling machine in midfield for Criciuma – Photo by Icon Sport

Barreto to add steel again

28-year-ol Barreto has been a combative presence in the middle for Criciuma and he’s been averaging 1.60 tackles and 1.80 fouls per game in the midfield battleground. Barreto should be in the thick of the action again on Friday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.