Sao Paulo will visit Arena Fonte Nova for their Serie A clash with Bahia on Wednesday, 6 November. View our free Bahia vs Sao Paulo predictions below.
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Bahia vs Sao Paulo predictions: Visitors to hold their own
Key stats
- Sao Paulo have four wins in their last six encounters with Bahia (D1, L1).
- Bahia are currently on a three-match winless run.
- Ten of the last 12 clashes between Sao Paulo and Bahia went below the 2.5-goal mark.
- Bahia conceded first in four of their last five games.
Correct score prediction: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Three of the last five clashes between these teams have ended with the same 1-0 scoreline. Given that Sao Paulo lost only once in their last eight encounters with Bahia, we are leaning towards the visitors for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bahia are bookies’ favourites
- HOME:11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
- DRAW:21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY:11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With only seven rounds of games left to play, Sao Paulo and Bahia are 6th and 7th in the Brazilian Serie A, respectively. Although Bahia have no wins in their last three games, they have an excellent record at home, having won 10 out of 15 league matches at Arena Fonte Nova this campaign.
Bearing that in mind, Bahia are the expected winners at 11/10 (2.10). Teams with these odds usually have a 47.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Bahia vs Sao Paulo predictions.
We have also pointed out that Bahia conceded the first goal in four of their last five games. On that note, Sao Paulo to score first has an appealing look at 6/4 (2.50). That one has a 40% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Sao Paulo's dominance to continue?
Sao Paulo came out on top the last two times these teams squared off against each other. They have a 4-3-1 win-draw-loss record in their last eight skirmishes with Bahia.
Interestingly, Bahia coach Rogerio Ceni spent 22 years with Sao Paulo during his playing days. Despite being a goalkeeper, he scored 129 goals in almost 1,200 appearances for the club. Ceni also coached Sao Paulo for a couple of seasons before leaving for Bahia last year.
Brazil Serie A 30/06/24
Sao Paulo
EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A 29/11/23
EC Bahia
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 30/07/23
Sao Paulo
EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A 07/11/21
EC Bahia
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 10/07/21
Sao Paulo
EC Bahia
Bahia preview: Looking to get back on track
Bahia have a few injury concerns ahead of this clash, with Teixeira Biel (back injury) and Rezende (groin injury) ruled out of this contest.
In addition to that, Thaciano will serve a one-match suspension in this encounter, having accumulated the maximum allowable number of yellow cards.
Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Juba, Kanu, Xavier, Arias, Ribeiro, Alexandre, Lucas, Cauly, Everaldo & Ademir.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Flamengo
1
EC Bahia
0
Copa Libertadores 07/05/25
L
Nacional De Football
3
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Botafogo
0
EC Bahia
1
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
W
Paysandu
0
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
W
Palmeiras
0
EC Bahia
1
Sao Paulo preview: Sights set on Copa Libertadores qualification
On the other hand, Sao Paulo will be missing the services of Michel Araujo (knee) Alisson (broken ankle) and Pablo Maia (thigh problem), as these players are yet to recover from their injuries.
Predicted lineup: Rafael (GK), Lewis, Franco, Arboleda, Vinicius, Antonio, Gustavo, Moura, Luciano, Erick & Calleri.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Palmeiras
1
Sao Paulo
0
Copa Libertadores 06/05/25
W
Alianza Lima
0
Sao Paulo
2
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
D
Fortaleza
0
Sao Paulo
0
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Nautico
1
Sao Paulo
2
Brazil Serie A 26/04/25
D
Ceara
1
Sao Paulo
1