All eyes will be on Estadio Urbano Caldeira when two Sao Paulo-based teams draw swords in the Brasileiro Serie A on Thursday, 20 November 2025.
View our free Santos vs Mirassol predictions below.
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Santos vs Mirassol predictions: Visitors to draw first blood
Key stats
- Mirassol opened the scoring in five of their last seven matches.
- In contrast, Santos conceded first in five of their last six games.
- At least three goals were scored in six of Mirassol’s last eight matches.
Correct score prediction: Santos 1-2 Mirassol
Although these Sao Paulo-based sides were both promoted to the Brazilian top flight at the end of last season, their fortunes have not been the same. While Mirassol are fourth in Serie A, Santos are flirting with relegation in 16th place.
That said, Mirassol have been impressive of late, winning five of their last seven matches.
Given that Santos managed only one win in their last six games, coupled with Mirassol's comfortable 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture, we are leaning toward the visitors for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mirassol up against it
- HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Despite their recent shortcomings, Santos are the expected winners at 11/10 (2.10). Teams with these odds generally have a 47.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Santos vs Mirassol predictions.
Also, bearing in mind that Mirassol registered the first goal in five of their last seven games, Mirassol to score first has an appealing look at 5/4 (2.25). That one has a 44.4% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Mirassol to complete the sweep?
Santos suffered a humiliating 3-0 defeat when these teams squared off against each other earlier this year. However, they have the H2H advantage ahead of this encounter, as Mirassol have lost eight consecutive trips to this stadium.
Brazil Campeonato Paulista 17/01/25
Santos
Mirassol
Brazil Serie B 12/10/24
Santos
Mirassol
Brazil Serie B 25/06/24
Mirassol
Santos
Brazil Campeonato Paulista 11/02/24
Mirassol
Santos
Brazil Campeonato Paulista 14/01/23
Santos
Mirassol
Santos preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time in three months
Mayke still has knee inflammation and will likely be on the Santos sidelines this midweek, while Victor Hugo is questionable as he is dealing with a hamstring strain.
Club legend and Brazil's record goalscorer Neymar was back in action for Santos over the weekend against Palmeiras and should be in the running to start here as the team continues to fight for safety.
Second-half substitute Benjamin Rollheiser scored the goal that steered Santastico out of the relegation zone last time out, but the Argentine midfielder is expected to once again start from the bench.
Predicted lineup: Brazao (GK), Vinicius, Basso, Ze Ivaldo, Escobar; Schmidt, Arao, Guilherme, Ze Rafael, Barreal & Neymar.
Last five matches
- Santos 1-0 Palmeiras
- Flamengo 3-2 Santos
- Palmeiras 2-0 Santos
- Santos 1-1 Fortaleza
- Botafogo 2-2 Santos
Mirassol preview: No new absentees
As for Mirassol, there are presently no confirmed absences. However, there are doubts surrounding the availability of Da Silva, Edson Carioca, and Matheus Sales due to fitness issues.
While a chance to win the league is very slim for the visitors, tightening their grip on the top four has become their sole objective as the season tilts towards its finish line.
Predicted lineup: Walter (GK), Borges, Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo, Guilherme, Neto, Danielzinho, Negueba, Alesson & Renato.
Last five matches
- Mirassol 2-1 Palmeiras
- Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol
- Mirassol 0-0 Botafogo
- Sport 1-2 Mirassol
- Mirassol 3-0 Sao Paulo
Player to watch: Reinaldo
Only four players have more goal contributions than Reinaldo in the Brasileiro Serie A this season. The former Sao Paulo defender is arguably Mirassol's top performer this season, as he leads the team in both goals and assists. He will be called upon to provide goals on Thursday.