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San Marino will be aiming to secure their first-ever victory over Finland when the two sides meet in the UEFA Nations League Group 1 clash at San Marino Stadium on Saturday.
Both teams missed out on qualification for the 2026 World Cup, with San Marino finishing bottom of their qualifying group, while Finland ended their campaign in third place behind the Netherlands and Poland.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
San Marino vs Finland key stats
- San Marino are without a win in their last 15 matches.
- Finland have lost their last three matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet.
- Both teams have scored in four of San Marino's last five matches.
- Six of San Marino's last seven games have produced Over 4.5 cards.
San Marino vs Finland preview: Visitors to win yet again?
San Marino vs Finland — Tale of the Tape
| San Marino | vs | Finland |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 2nd |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Goals For | 0 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 4th (H) | Home / Away Rank | 2nd (A) |
San Marino endured a dreadful World Cup qualifying campaign, losing all eight of their matches while scoring just two goals and conceding 39.
While there has been some improvement in their performances in 2026, they have still lost three of their four international friendlies, drawing the other against Andorra.
In June, La Serenissima suffered consecutive 2-1 defeats to Bangladesh and Azerbaijan, and they have since dropped to 211th in the FIFA rankings.
However, they can take encouragement from the fact that they have scored in each of their last three home matches and should be looking to find the net again on Saturday.
Despite making a strong start to their World Cup qualifying campaign, picking up two wins and a draw from their opening four matches, Finland failed to maintain that momentum.
They lost three of their next four games and ultimately finished seven points behind Poland, which ended their hopes of reaching the World Cup.
Finland then took part in the FIFA Series, beating New Zealand 2-0 before losing 4-2 on penalties to Cabo Verde after the match finished 1-1 in normal time.
Germany swept them aside 4-0 in a friendly in June, while Finland also suffered a 2-1 defeat to Hungary despite putting up a valiant fight, particularly in the second half.
San Marino vs Finland form guide & betting tips
| San Marino | vs | Finland |
|---|---|---|
LLDLL |
Form | WWLLL |
| 4 | Goals For | 10 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 11 |
NA |
Form (NATIONS LEAGUE) | NA |
Whispers predicts: San Marino 1-2 Finland
Finland have won each of their last four meetings against San Marino and are overwhelming favourites to win, with the visitors priced at 1.08.
However, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches, while San Marino have scored in each of their last three home games.
Thus, both teams can be backed to score at 4.0, while a combination of Finland win and BTTS – Yes at 6.0 is worth considering.
Three of San Marino's last four matches have produced more than two goals, making Over 2.5 at 1.53 a decent offer.
Three of those four games have also ended in 2-1 defeats for San Marino, so a correct score of 1-2 in favour of Finland at 21.0 looks particularly tempting.
> Both teams to score at 4.0 | Likelihood: Medium
> Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 | Likelihood: High
> Finland win + BTTS – Yes at 6.00 | Likelihood: Medium