Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/01/2025
Salzburg face Madrid opposition for the second week running - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Atletico Madrid & over 2.5 total goals

Atletico Madrid have won 16 of their last 18 matches in all competitions.

Atletico Madrid are bidding to secure a place in the round-of-16 when they travel to Austria this Wednesday. Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction and UEFA Champions League betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s side can get the job done.

Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Alvarez to strike in road win.

Key stats

  • Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that all of seven of Atleti’s Champions League games this term have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • It’s just two wins in nine for Salzburg in all competitions.
  • They’ve let in three or more goals in five of their seven league phase matches in the Champions League.

Correct score prediction: Salzburg 1-3 Atletico Madrid

This is not a great Salzburg side and they’ve been found badly wanting defensively in this competition, with some key absentees further up the pitch not helping either.

Simeone rested a number of key players at the weekend, so it’s clear how important this game is for Atletico Madrid, and it’s one they should win with few problems.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
  • DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
  • AWAY: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 74.1% that they win this match.

They head into the game following a disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Villarreal in La Liga, with Samuel Lino’s goal not enough for three points.

As for RB Salzburg, they are on their winter break in Austria, so they’ve not played since last week when they were beaten 5-1 by Real Madrid in the Champions League at the Bernabeu.

For more from the upcoming games in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Atleti winners here in 2020

Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests Los Rojiblancos will have the edge here, as was the case when the sides met in the group stage in the 2020/21 Champions League.

Atleti won 3-2 at home, and 2-0 in Austria that season.

Elite Club Friendlies 28/07/21

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

UEFA Champions League 09/12/20

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 27/10/20

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

2

Salzburg preview: Hosts missing three

The home team will be without the injured trio of Daouda Guindo, Karim Konate and Maurits Kjaergaard

Predicted Lineup: Blaswich (GK), Terzic, Blank, Baidoo, Dedic, Yeo, Gloukh, Bidstrup, Capaldo, Yeo, Daghim & Nene

Austria Bundesliga 09/05/25

L

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

4

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

2

Austria Bundesliga 04/05/25

W

FK Austria Vienna

FK Austria Vienna

0

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

2

Austria Bundesliga 27/04/25

L

Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

2

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

1

Austria Bundesliga 23/04/25

D

Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

1

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

1

Austria Bundesliga 20/04/25

W

FK Austria Vienna

FK Austria Vienna

1

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

3

Atletico Madrid preview: Barrios serves ban

Midfielder Pablo Barrios is suspended for Atleti. They are also missing Javi Galan to an injury, with many changes expected from the weekend lineup.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Lino, Lenglet, Gimenez, Molina, Simeone, De Paul, Gallagher, Llorente, Griezmann & Alvarez

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

L

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Player to watch – Julian Alvarez

Julian Alvarez scored a vital brace as Atletico came from behind to stun Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 at the Estadio Metropolitano last week. He has scored 16 goals in all competitions so far for his new club.

salzburg vs atletico madrid prediction
Alvarez has been in good form in recent weeks – Photo by IMAGO.

Alvarez striking at the death

The Argentina international scored a 90th minute winner last time out in Europe. 38% of his Atleti goals have come after the 75th minute.

ucl predictions

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.