Atletico Madrid are bidding to secure a place in the round-of-16 when they travel to Austria this Wednesday. Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction and UEFA Champions League betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s side can get the job done.
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Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Alvarez to strike in road win.
Key stats
- Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that all of seven of Atleti’s Champions League games this term have produced over 2.5 goals.
- It’s just two wins in nine for Salzburg in all competitions.
- They’ve let in three or more goals in five of their seven league phase matches in the Champions League.
Correct score prediction: Salzburg 1-3 Atletico Madrid
This is not a great Salzburg side and they’ve been found badly wanting defensively in this competition, with some key absentees further up the pitch not helping either.
Simeone rested a number of key players at the weekend, so it’s clear how important this game is for Atletico Madrid, and it’s one they should win with few problems.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the red hot favourites
- HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
- AWAY: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 74.1% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Villarreal in La Liga, with Samuel Lino’s goal not enough for three points.
As for RB Salzburg, they are on their winter break in Austria, so they’ve not played since last week when they were beaten 5-1 by Real Madrid in the Champions League at the Bernabeu.
For more from the upcoming games in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Atleti winners here in 2020
Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests Los Rojiblancos will have the edge here, as was the case when the sides met in the group stage in the 2020/21 Champions League.
Atleti won 3-2 at home, and 2-0 in Austria that season.
Elite Club Friendlies 28/07/21
FC Salzburg
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League 09/12/20
FC Salzburg
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League 27/10/20
Atletico Madrid
FC Salzburg
Salzburg preview: Hosts missing three
The home team will be without the injured trio of Daouda Guindo, Karim Konate and Maurits Kjaergaard
Predicted Lineup: Blaswich (GK), Terzic, Blank, Baidoo, Dedic, Yeo, Gloukh, Bidstrup, Capaldo, Yeo, Daghim & Nene
Austria Bundesliga 09/05/25
L SK Sturm Graz 4 FC Salzburg 2 Austria Bundesliga 04/05/25
W FK Austria Vienna 0 FC Salzburg 2 Austria Bundesliga 27/04/25
L Wolfsberger AC 2 FC Salzburg 1 Austria Bundesliga 23/04/25
D Wolfsberger AC 1 FC Salzburg 1 Austria Bundesliga 20/04/25
W FK Austria Vienna 1 FC Salzburg 3
Atletico Madrid preview: Barrios serves ban
Midfielder Pablo Barrios is suspended for Atleti. They are also missing Javi Galan to an injury, with many changes expected from the weekend lineup.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Lino, Lenglet, Gimenez, Molina, Simeone, De Paul, Gallagher, Llorente, Griezmann & Alvarez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
Player to watch – Julian Alvarez
Julian Alvarez scored a vital brace as Atletico came from behind to stun Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 at the Estadio Metropolitano last week. He has scored 16 goals in all competitions so far for his new club.

Alvarez striking at the death
The Argentina international scored a 90th minute winner last time out in Europe. 38% of his Atleti goals have come after the 75th minute.