Roma face a challenging task as they welcome Stuttgart in the UEFA Europa League group phase match at the Stadio Olimpico this Thursday.
Roma made a shaky start to their Europa League campaign by losing two of their opening three league-phase matches, but their European form has since taken a sharp upturn.
Three consecutive UEL victories have propelled the Giallorossi back into contention for a top-eight finish, and they now have the chance to record four straight wins in the competition for the first time since the 2020/21 season.
Confidence is further boosted by three wins from their last four matches across all competitions, although caution remains, as their only recent defeat came at home.
Notably, Roma’s two league-phase losses this season also came on home soil, against Lille and Viktoria Plzen, highlighting that nothing can be taken for granted here.
Stuttgart find themselves in an almost identical position, having mirrored Roma’s league-phase results to collect 12 points of their own, leaving them just one point adrift of the top eight.
The German side edge above their hosts on goal difference ahead of this round and arrive in strong form, having scored a competition-high ten goals from matchday four onwards.
That firepower has underpinned a six-match unbeaten run in the Europa League, while their recent away form also offers encouragement, with three wins from their last four trips on the road.
Read our Roma vs Stuttgart predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other UEFA Europa League predictions.
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Roma vs Stuttgart prediction: Home team to snatch a win
Key statistics
- Both teams have played BTTS in at least two of their last five games in their respective leagues.
- Over 3.5 goals have been scored in three of Stuttgart’s last five away games.
- Roma have won three of their last five home games.
Correct score prediction: Roma 3-2 Stuttgart
We expect a highly competitive encounter where the home advantage will prove decisive in the closing stages. We predict a 3-2 victory for Roma because the Giallorossi typically elevate their performance levels under the lights of the Stadio Olimpico in European knockout-style scenarios.
Stuttgart are dangerous on the counter-attack and are in good form, having stayed unbeaten in their last five games. We believe both teams will find the net, but Roma will do enough to get the win.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Roma slightly favoured
- Home: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- Draw: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- Away: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Going into this contest, Roma are rated as slight favourites at 1.91, which suggests a 52.4% likelihood of a home victory. Stuttgart are not far behind in the market at 3.75, reflecting a 26.7% chance of an away success, while the draw sits at 3.70 with a 27.0% implied probability.
The pricing points to a closely fought encounter, with Roma’s home advantage just enough to give them the edge according to bookmakers.
Most recent head-to-head: No previous meetings
There has been no record between these two clubs, as they have not faced each other in a competitive UEFA fixture in the modern era. This lack of previous head-to-head data adds an element of unpredictability to the contest as both managers will be facing each other for the first time.
This upcoming match represents a unique opportunity for either side to establish an early advantage in their history.
After reviewing our key Roma vs Stuttgart predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Roma preview: Injuries and squad availability
Roma will be without several first-team options, with Angelino, Mario Hermoso, Stephan El Shaarawy, Pierluigi Gollini, Tommaso Baldanzi and Artem Dovbyk all sidelined due to injury.
The absences affect multiple areas of the pitch, particularly in attack and midfield, potentially limiting rotation options for this fixture.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, N’Dicka, Hermoso, Rensch, Cristante, Kone, Wesley, Dybala, Pellegrini & Malen
Last five fixtures
- 18.01.26 – Torino 0–2 AS Roma
- 13.01.26 – AS Roma 2–3 Torino (Coppa Italia)
- 10.01.26 – AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo
- 06.01.26 – Lecce 0–2 AS Roma
- 03.01.26 – Atalanta 1–0 AS Roma
Stuttgart preview: Injuries, suspensions and squad availability
Stuttgart travel without Bilal El Khannouss, who is suspended, while Angelo Stiller, Luca Jaquez, Dan-Axel Zagadou, Lazar Jovanovic and Tiago Tomas are all unavailable through injury. Those setbacks leave the German side short on depth, especially in defensive and midfield positions.
Predicted lineup: Nubel (GK), Vagnoman, Hendriks, Chabot, Mittelstadt, Nartey, Karazor, Stiller, Leweling, Undav & Fuhrich
Last five fixtures
- 18.01.26 – Stuttgart 1–1 Union Berlin
- 13.01.26 – Stuttgart 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 10.01.26 – Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 Stuttgart
- 05.01.26 – Stuttgart 3–2 Luzern (CF)
- 20.12.25 – Stuttgart 0–0 Hoffenheim
Player to watch: Matias Soule
Matias Soule has emerged as one of Roma’s most influential players in recent weeks. The young forward was central to the win over Sassuolo, finding the net once and setting up another goal.
His impact has been consistent, with his creativity and direct running adding real bite to Roma’s attack. With six goals and four assists to his name this season, Soule looks set to be a major factor again and could prove decisive in helping his team get a win.