Roma are hoping to extend their strong run of form with a Monday night game at the Stadio Olimpico. Our Roma vs Monza prediction and Serie A betting tips consider whether the division’s bottom club stands any chance here.
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Roma vs Monza prediction: Solid home win for Ranieri’s men
Key stats
- Our Roma vs Monza betting tips take into account that 72% of the home team’s league games this term have produced under 3.5 goals.
- 84% of Monza matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Monza have only scored one goal in their last four Serie A outings, while they’ve lost six of their last eight.
Correct score prediction: Roma 2-0 Monza
Some light rotation is possible here from Roma who may not be at full strength in attack following a busy night in Europe. However, they should still have enough to see off struggling Monza.
The visitors look like relegation certainties, while Roma are quietly climbing the table by grinding out wins on a consistent basis. They are looking solid enough at the back to keep a clean sheet here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the red hot favourites
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
- AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Roma vs Monza odds, with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this match.
They head into this following an eventful 3-2 win over Porto in the Europa League, with Paulo Dybala scoring twice to seal victory for the Italians.
As for Monza, they were last in action at home to Lecce in Serie A, in a game that ended 0-0.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Monza winless in five
Our Roma vs Monza prediction suggests the home team’s five-game unbeaten run against this opposition will continue here.
Since Monza’s promotion in 2022, they’ve been beaten to nil on both visits to the Stadio Olimpico to play Roma.
Italy Serie A 06/10/24
Monza
Roma
Italy Serie A 02/03/24
Monza
Roma
Italy Serie A 22/10/23
Roma
Monza
Italy Serie A 03/05/23
Monza
Roma
Italy Serie A 30/08/22
Roma
Monza
Roma preview: Dovbyk rated doubtful
The hosts have a doubt over striker Artem Dovbyk. Ranieri may make light changes from Thursday night.
Predicted Lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, N’Dicka, Nelsson, Angelino, Paredes, Kone, Celik, Saelemaekers, Pellegrini & Soule
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L Atalanta 2 Roma 1 Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W Fiorentina 0 Roma 1 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W Inter Milan 0 Roma 1 Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W Verona 0 Roma 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D Lazio 1 Roma 1
Monza preview: Major selection issues for the visitors
Serie A’s bottom club are missing the suspended Armando Izzo here. They also have injury concerns over Stefano Sensi, Matteo Pessina, Stefan Lekovic, Roberto Gagliardini, Luca Caldirola, Samuele Birindelli and Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro.
Predicted Lineup: Turati (GK), Carboni, D'Ambrosio, Palacios, Kyriakopoulos, Bianco, Urbanski, Pereira, Mota, Ciurria & Ganvoula
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
W Udinese 1 Monza 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L Atalanta 4 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L Juventus 2 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 19/04/25
L Napoli 1 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L Venezia 1 Monza 0
Player to watch – Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers may rotate back into the Roma lineup here. He’s had a bright season in Serie A, scoring four times in 13 appearances.
Saelemaekers striking before the break
The 25-year-old has scored most of his goals this season before the break. 75% of his goals have come in the opening half hour, including 13th minute strikes against Lecce and Parma.