Roma will welcome Milan to the Stadio Olimpico this Sunday for the Serie A clash that could have massive implications for the league title and Champions League qualification spots.
Roma carried strong momentum into 2026, collecting four wins from their opening six matches in all competitions despite two defeats.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s side continued that upward trend on Thursday with a controlled 2-0 Europa League success over Stuttgart.
The result lifted them into the top eight before last weekend’s 2-0 scoreline against Torino kept them three points clear inside Serie A’s top four.
Milan, meanwhile, have been relentless since stumbling on the opening weekend of the season, embarking on a remarkable 20-match unbeaten Serie A run in their Scudetto pursuit.
A narrow 1-0 victory over Lecce last time out highlighted their patience and control, but it still left them three points adrift of leaders Inter.
Massimiliano Allegri’s men have been especially dependable on their travels, winning four of their last five away league fixtures.
Read our Roma vs Milan predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.
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Roma vs Milan prediction: Home team to claim a win
Key statistics
- Over 3.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five encounters.
- Roma have won their last three meetings at home against AC Milan.
- BTTS have been played in four of their last five meetings.
Correct score prediction: Roma 3-1 Milan
Ahead of this clash, we expect a very closely contested battle between two of the league's most tactically astute sides. We predict a 3-1 win for Roma because of their home form during their previous meetings.
While the home team will be boosted by their clinical performance against Torino, the resilience shown by Allegri’s men throughout this campaign suggests they will be incredibly difficult to break down over the full ninety minutes.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Roma are slight favourites
- Home: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- Draw: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- Away: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.
Going into this contest, the odds give AS Roma a narrow edge, with odds of 2.60 implying just under a 39% chance of a home win. AC Milan are close behind at 2.80, reflecting a strong 35.7% implied probability, while the draw is priced at 3.10 (32.3%).
Overall, the odds suggest a finely balanced encounter, with Roma only slightly favoured and Milan well fancied to challenge, indicating a high likelihood of a competitive and tightly contested match rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Most recent head-to-head: A balanced rivalry
Looking at the previous records, the last five competitive meetings between these two clubs show a very competitive and evenly matched history. Each team have managed to secure two wins, with two matches ending in draws.
The most recent clash took place in 2025 and ended in a 1-0 victory for Milan at San Siro, which followed a 3-1 home win for Roma in May of that same year.
Italy Serie A 02/11/25
AC Milan
Roma
Italy Serie A 18/05/25
Roma
AC Milan
Coppa Italia 05/02/25
AC Milan
Roma
Italy Serie A 29/12/24
AC Milan
Roma
Elite Club Friendlies 31/05/24
AC Milan
Roma
After reviewing our key Roma vs Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Roma preview: Injury concerns in the team
Roma head into this clash with a lengthy injury list to manage. Mario Hermoso, Tommaso Baldanzi, Angelino, Stephan El Shaarawy and Artem Dovbyk are all sidelined, limiting Gasperini’s options for the game.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, N'Dicka, Ziolkowski, Rensch, Cristante, Kone, Wesley, Soule, Pellegrini & Malen
Last five fixtures
- 16.01.26 – Pisa 1–1 Atalanta
- 10.01.26 – Atalanta 2–0 Torino
- 07.01.26 – Bologna 0–2 Atalanta
- 03.01.26 – Atalanta 1–0 AS Roma
- 28.12.25 – Atalanta 0–1 Inter
Milan preview: Attacking absentees in the team
Milan are dealing with fewer selection issues, though they are without two attacking options. Alexis Saelemaekers and Santiago Gimenez are both unavailable through injury, meaning Allegri may need to reshuffle his forward line for this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, De Winter, Athekame, Ricci, Jashari, Rabiot, Estupinan, Pulisic & Leao
Last five fixtures
- 18.01.26 – AC Milan 1–0 Lecce
- 15.01.26 – Como 1–3 AC Milan
- 11.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan
- 08.01.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Genoa
- 02.01.26 – Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
Player to watch: Matias Soule
Matias Soule stands out as the key player for the hosts, continuing to spearhead the attack with growing influence. The forward has enjoyed an excellent campaign so far, registering six goals and four assists.
His strength, movement, and link-up play make him Roma’s main attacking outlet against an in-form AC Milan side, and he looks well placed to play a decisive role in determining the outcome of this contest.