Lazio and Roma will face off in the Rome derby this weekend with the two clubs set to do battle at the Stadio Olimpico.
Although both teams call the stadium their home, Lazio are officially down as the home team for this one but with a big European match on the horizon, key players may be rested.
Roma, meanwhile, will be throwing everything at this match as they look to continue a remarkable turnaround in fortunes.
As part of our latest round of Serie A betting tips, here is our Lazio vs Roma prediction.
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Lazio vs Roma prediction: Ranieri's men to nick it
Key Stats
- Roma have won seven of their last eight Serie A matches.
- Lazio haven't won any of their last four matches at the Stadio Olimpico.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Lazio's last four Serie A matches.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 0-1 Roma
Claudio Ranieri has done a remarkable job at Roma and we are backing him to win his final-ever derby match as a manager on Sunday. Roma are the most in-form team in Serie A and given that Lazio will have one eye on their Europa League quarter-final second leg with Bodo/Glimt on Thursday, it feels like a no-brainer.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma start as narrow favourites
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Lazio vs Roma odds indicate that this will be a very tight contest, something that we are in agreement with. Ladbrokes have made Roma the narrow favourites and have given Claudio Ranieri's men a 40% chance of winning the match while Lazio have been given a 35.7% chance of securing the win.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Roma
Roma have won their last two matches against Lazio which should mean their squad is full of confidence coming into this one. The clash between the two clubs earlier this season finished 2-0 to Roma and another win to nil is what we're backing on Sunday. Lazio's last win in the derby came in March 2023.
Italy Serie A 05/01/25
Roma
Lazio
Italy Serie A 06/04/24
Roma
Lazio
Coppa Italia 10/01/24
Lazio
Roma
Italy Serie A 12/11/23
Lazio
Roma
Italy Serie A 19/03/23
Lazio
Roma
Lazio preview: Everything in unravelling
When these two teams met earlier in the season, Lazio were very much in the hunt for the title and were the favourites to win the Europa League. Now, they are facing an uphill task to even finish in the top four in Serie and are staring down the barrel of a quarter-final exit in Europe. It's a big couple of days for the club and it could end up defining their season.
Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Rovella, Guendouzi, Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni, Castellanos
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
D
Juventus
1
Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Empoli
0
Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Parma
2
Lazio
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W
Genoa
0
Lazio
2
UEFA Europa League 17/04/25
W
Bodo/Glimt
1
Lazio
3
Roma preview: Ranieri's magic continues to shine
Claudio Ranieri deserves huge credit for how he has turned Roma's fortunes around this season and it's a fitting job to end his career on given the miracles he has played his part in over the years. If he can somehow steer the club to a top-four finish, then it will be the best thing he's done since leading Leicester City to the Premier League title in 2016.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, Hummels, Ndicka, Saelemaekers, Paredes, Kone, Angelino, Soule, Pellegrini, Dovbyk
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Atalanta
2
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Fiorentina
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Inter Milan
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W
Verona
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Lazio
1
Roma
1
Player to watch: Taty Castellanos
While Artem Dovbyk will perhaps be the most well-known former Girona striker on the pitch on Sunday, Taty Castellanos effectively walked so Dovbyk could walk. In the season prior to Dovbyk joining Girona, Castellanos was the club's star man and his performances earned him a move to Lazio. The Argentinian recently returned from injury and is seeking his tenth Serie A goal of the season.