lazio vs roma prediction (1)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Roma to win

Lazio have failed to win five of their last six matches in all competitions.

Lazio and Roma will face off in the Rome derby this weekend with the two clubs set to do battle at the Stadio Olimpico.

Although both teams call the stadium their home, Lazio are officially down as the home team for this one but with a big European match on the horizon, key players may be rested.

Roma, meanwhile, will be throwing everything at this match as they look to continue a remarkable turnaround in fortunes.

As part of our latest round of Serie A betting tips, here is our Lazio vs Roma prediction.

Lazio vs Roma prediction: Ranieri's men to nick it

Key Stats

  • Roma have won seven of their last eight Serie A matches.
  • Lazio haven't won any of their last four matches at the Stadio Olimpico.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Lazio's last four Serie A matches.

Correct score prediction: Lazio 0-1 Roma

Claudio Ranieri has done a remarkable job at Roma and we are backing him to win his final-ever derby match as a manager on Sunday. Roma are the most in-form team in Serie A and given that Lazio will have one eye on their Europa League quarter-final second leg with Bodo/Glimt on Thursday, it feels like a no-brainer.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma start as narrow favourites

  • HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Lazio vs Roma odds indicate that this will be a very tight contest, something that we are in agreement with. Ladbrokes have made Roma the narrow favourites and have given Claudio Ranieri's men a 40% chance of winning the match while Lazio have been given a 35.7% chance of securing the win.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Roma

Roma have won their last two matches against Lazio which should mean their squad is full of confidence coming into this one. The clash between the two clubs earlier this season finished 2-0 to Roma and another win to nil is what we're backing on Sunday. Lazio's last win in the derby came in March 2023.

Italy Serie A 05/01/25

Roma

Roma

2
Lazio

Lazio

0

Italy Serie A 06/04/24

Roma

Roma

1
Lazio

Lazio

0

Coppa Italia 10/01/24

Lazio

Lazio

1
Roma

Roma

0

Italy Serie A 12/11/23

Lazio

Lazio

0
Roma

Roma

0

Italy Serie A 19/03/23

Lazio

Lazio

1
Roma

Roma

0

Lazio preview: Everything in unravelling

When these two teams met earlier in the season, Lazio were very much in the hunt for the title and were the favourites to win the Europa League. Now, they are facing an uphill task to even finish in the top four in Serie and are staring down the barrel of a quarter-final exit in Europe. It's a big couple of days for the club and it could end up defining their season.

Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Rovella, Guendouzi, Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni, Castellanos

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

D

Juventus

Juventus

1

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

D

Parma

Parma

2

Lazio

Lazio

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

W

Genoa

Genoa

0

Lazio

Lazio

2

UEFA Europa League 17/04/25

W

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

1

Lazio

Lazio

3

Roma preview: Ranieri's magic continues to shine

Claudio Ranieri deserves huge credit for how he has turned Roma's fortunes around this season and it's a fitting job to end his career on given the miracles he has played his part in over the years. If he can somehow steer the club to a top-four finish, then it will be the best thing he's done since leading Leicester City to the Premier League title in 2016.

Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, Hummels, Ndicka, Saelemaekers, Paredes, Kone, Angelino, Soule, Pellegrini, Dovbyk

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Verona

Verona

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Lazio

Lazio

1

Roma

Roma

1

Player to watch: Taty Castellanos

Taty Castellanos
Photo by Imago

While Artem Dovbyk will perhaps be the most well-known former Girona striker on the pitch on Sunday, Taty Castellanos effectively walked so Dovbyk could walk. In the season prior to Dovbyk joining Girona, Castellanos was the club's star man and his performances earned him a move to Lazio. The Argentinian recently returned from injury and is seeking his tenth Serie A goal of the season.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.