Roma vs Lazio prediction, preview & betting tips – 17/05/2026
Roma players celebrating - Photo by IMAGO / ABACAPRESS
🔥 Our Hot tip

Home team to win and under 2.5 goals

Roma are unbeaten against Lazio in their last four meetings in Serie A, and all four have had under 2.5 goals scored.

AS Roma and Lazio prepare to renew their fierce rivalry in Serie A at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday in the Derby della Capitale.

This clash sees the hosts looking to continue their impressive form and maintain their chase for Champions League qualification, while the visitors aim to move further up the table. 

With both sides currently separated by sixteen points in the table, the stakes remain incredibly high in a fixture that the home team needs to keep their UCL hopes alive.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Roma vs. Lazio key stats

  • AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 11 home matches in Serie A, showing dominant form at the Stadio Olimpico.
  • Lazio have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last six away games across all competitions.
  • Donyell Malen is Roma’s top scorer this season, having scored 13 goals in the Serie A.

Roma vs. Lazio preview: The battle for bragging rights

Roma vs Lazio — Tale of the Tape

Roma vs Lazio
5thPosition9th
67Points51
55Goals For39
31Goals Against37
16Clean Sheets15
3rdHome / Away Rank10th

A place in next season’s UEFA Champions League is on the line as Roma and Lazio renew one of Italian football’s fiercest rivalries in the latest edition of the Derby della Capitale.

Roma head into the showdown full of confidence after a dramatic late comeback against Parma, where stoppage-time goals in the 94th and 101st minutes sealed a thrilling 3-2 victory. 

That result continued the impressive resurgence under Gian Piero Gasperini, with the Giallorossi now winning three straight Serie A matches to reignite their push for a top-four finish. 

Roma have also turned the Stadio Olimpico into a fortress in recent months, going unbeaten across their last 11 home league games while recording seven clean sheets during that run.

Level on points with AC Milan in the race for fourth, Roma know victory in the capital derby could be decisive at this stage of the season.

Lazio, meanwhile, arrive wounded after a difficult week that saw them lose twice to Inter Milan, first in the league and then again in the Coppa Italia final. 

Those setbacks have increased pressure on manager Maurizio Sarri, with the Biancocelesti now battling simply to secure a respectable finish inside the top eight.

Despite the recent disappointment in their games, Lazio have shown resilience throughout the campaign. 

They have suffered back-to-back Serie A defeats only once all season and travel across the capital on the back of three consecutive away league victories.

That form suggests another fiercely contested chapter in Rome’s biggest rivalry awaits, as the season draws to a close.

Roma vs. Lazio form guide & betting tips

Roma vs. Lazio — Last 5 Form Guide
Roma vs Lazio
WDWWW
Form
LWDWL
13Points7
1stForm Table9th
13Goals For7
3Goals Against8
WDWWW
Form (All Comps)
DDWLL

Whispers predicts: Roma 2-0 Lazio

The reasoning for a 2-0 victory for the home side is based on Roma’s strong home record and previous meetings. 

The Roma side are unbeaten in their last four home games, giving them the confidence heading into this tie.

The bookmakers have made Roma the favourites at 1.53, reflecting their superior home form and the advantage that comes with it. 

A draw is currently priced at 4.00, and an away win for Lazio is considered the underdog at 5.75, as their poor away form and injury list provide little confidence of an upset. 

The odds for under 2.5 goals are set at 1.90, which is an excellent option given the recent head-to-head history, while Donyell Malen, anytime goalscorer, is at 2.05 odds

Both teams to score (no) is also given at 1.80 odds, while the home team to win and under 2.5 goals is given at 3.60 odds.

📈 Roma vs. Lazio — Whispers' Tips

> Home team win and under 2.5 goals at 3.60 | Likelihood: Probable

> Under 2.5 goals at 1.76 | Likelihood: Probable

> Donyell Malen, anytime goalscorer at 2.05 | Likelihood: Possible

> Both teams to score: No at 1.80 | Likelihood: Possible

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