Mid-table sides Roma and Genoa go head-to-head in Serie A on Friday night and we're predicting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the pair.
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Roma vs Genoa prediction: A shortage of goals?
Key Stats
- Roma have kept clean sheets in each of their last two home games.
- Both teams have scored in just two of Genoa's last six outings.
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Genoa's last six fixtures.
- Three of Roma's last five league games have witnessed fewer than three goals.
Correct score prediction: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Roma have picked up four wins from their last seven games against Genoa in league and cup and head into Friday's clash unbeaten in their last five fixtures across all competitions. Genoa have proven to be a tough side to score against of last, playing out three 0-0 draws in their last six Serie A games but Roma have only failed to score in one of their last six matches.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the bookmaker's pick
- HOME: 10/17 (1.59) – 63%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 28/5 (6.60) – 15.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Roma are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 63% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Roma lead
Friday's hosts have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five competitive games against Genoa with the pair playing out a 1-1 draw when they last met in September.
Italy Serie A 15/09/24
Genoa
Roma
Italy Serie A 19/05/24
Roma
Genoa
Italy Serie A 28/09/23
Genoa
Roma
Coppa Italia 12/01/23
Roma
Genoa
Italy Serie A 05/02/22
Roma
Genoa
Roma preview: In good form
Roma's form has improved following their poor start to the season with Claudio Ranieri's side going unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Last time out, Roma made the trip to Bologna where the pair played out a goalless first half. However, the second half produced four goals as Alexis Saelemaekers put Roma in front and Artem Dovbyk converted a stoppage-time penalty to rescue Roma a point in a 2-2 draw.
Samuel Dahl, Ola Solbakken, Bryan Cristante and Edoardo Bove make up the four players who could miss out for Roma on Friday night due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Hummels, Angelino, Mancini, Ndicka, Paredes, Pellegrini, Kone, Dybala, Dovbyk & Saelemaekers
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Atalanta
2
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Fiorentina
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Inter Milan
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W
Verona
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Lazio
1
Roma
1
Genoa preview: Tough to breakdown
Genoa might have only managed to win one of their last six league games but Patrick Vieria's men have only conceded three goals during that period.
A solitary second-half effort from Morten Frendrup proved enough for Genoa to defeat Parma on Sunday, a result which took the club to within a point of Friday's hosts Roma.
Milan Badelj, Vitor Oliveira, Caleb Ekuban, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Ruslan Malinovsky could all miss the Roma game through injury.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Bani, Martín, Vasquez, Zanoli, De Winter, Kasa, Thorsby, Frendrup, Miretti & Pinamonti
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Napoli
2
Genoa
2
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
L
AC Milan
2
Genoa
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Como
1
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Lazio
2
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Verona
0
Genoa
0
Player to watch: Artem Dovbyk
Ukrainian striker Artem Dovbyk made the move to Roma in the summer after impressing with Girona in La Liga.
The 27-year-old has featured in 18 league games for the Italian club this season and currently top scores with six goals. Dovbyk has scored four times in his last five appearances in league and cup and will be Roma's danger man against Genoa.
Dovbyk top scores for Roma in Serie A this season
We're expecting another top performance from the Roma forward it what should prove to be a tough game against a Genoa side that don't give away many cheap goals.