Roma vs Genoa prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/12/2025

The Italian League continues this weekend as Roma prepare to welcome Genoa to the Stadio Olimpico on Monday in the Serie A, with the home side desperate to climb back into the Champions League spots after a period of mixed results. 

The Giallorossi will be looking to use the energy of their home support to overcome a stubborn visiting side that has shown they can be difficult to break down on their travels. 

Gian Piero Gasperini’s men are looking to bounce back from a narrow 2-1 defeat against Juventus in their last outing. They have managed only two wins and lost three in their last five games.

Genoa, meanwhile, have also not had a good run recently, with two wins and three losses in their last five games. They head for the game, aiming to get back to winning ways after following a 1-0 loss to Atalanta. 

The Grifone have been inconsistent lately, though a recent 2-1 win over Udinese proves they possess the quality to trouble the strong teams in the league when given the space to play.

Read our Roma vs Genoa predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.

Roma vs Genoa prediction: Home team to win

Key statistics

• First-half draws have been played in three of their last five clashes.
• Roma have won three of their last five encounters with Genoa.
• BTTS was played in three of their last five meetings.

Correct score prediction: Roma 2-1 Genoa

We believe that the home side will have just enough quality to edge this contest and we are predicting a 2-1 victory for the Giallorossi. While the visitors often set up in a defensive block, we still expect Roma to secure the three points in front of a passionate home crowd.

Genoa have not found it easy against Roma in previous meetings, but they have found a way to score goals, so we expect goals from both teams in this encounter.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Roma are the favourites

• Home: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
• Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
• Away: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4% 

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The bookmakers side with the host on home soil, with odds of 1.65 implying a 60.6% chance of victory. The visitors are priced at 5.75 (17.4%), while the draw is available at 3.60 (27.8%), suggesting Roma are expected to have the upper hand, though Genoa could make it competitive if they remain defensively solid.

Most recent head-to-head: History favours the home team

A look at the recent head-to-head record highlights a clear advantage for the Rome-based side. Across the last five competitive encounters, the Giallorossi have come out on top three times, with Genoa managing just one victory alongside a single draw. 

The latest meeting, played in early 2025, saw Roma secure a convincing 3-1 home win, while Genoa’s lone success in that run came with an unexpected 4-1 triumph in late 2023.

Italy Serie A 17/01/25

Roma

3

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 15/09/24

Genoa

1

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 19/05/24

Roma

1

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 28/09/23

Genoa

4

Roma

1

Coppa Italia 12/01/23

Roma

1

Genoa

0

After reviewing our key Roma vs Genoa predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Roma preview: New injury issue, but Dovbyk returns

Roma will have to do without captain Lorenzo Pellegrini, who is sidelined after suffering a hamstring injury in training. He joins Leon Bailey on the injury list, further limiting options going forward.

In addition, Neil El Aynaoui and defensive lynchpin Evan Ndicka are both absent due to their involvement at the Africa Cup of Nations. On a more positive note, Artem Dovbyk is back available after recovering from a thigh issue, offering Roma a timely boost in attack.

Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Celik, Mancini, Hermoso, Rensch, Kone, Cristante, Wesley, Soule, Baldanzi & Dybala

Last five fixtures

• 20.12.25 – Juventus 2–1 AS Roma
• 15.12.25 – AS Roma 1–0 Como
• 11.12.25 – Celtic 0–3 AS Roma
• 07.12.25 – Cagliari 1–0 AS Roma
• 30.11.25 – AS Roma 0–1 Napoli

Genoa preview: Lengthy absences in the team

Genoa are forced into a change in goal, with first-choice stopper Nicola Leali suspended and Benjamin Siegrist sidelined by a broken finger. As a result, third-choice goalkeeper Daniele Sommariva is set to step in between the posts.

The Rossoblu are also dealing with an extensive injury list, as Junior Messias, Morten Thorsby, Hugo Cuenca, Arthur Grønbæk and Maxwel Cornet all remain unavailable, while Jean Onana is away on international duty with Cameroon at the Africa Cup of Nations.

There is some welcome relief for Daniele De Rossi, however, as defensive leader Leo Ostigard has recovered from a calf issue and is expected to be fit enough to return to the starting lineup.

Predicted lineup: Sommariva (GK), Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vazquez, Norton-Cuffy, Frendrup, Malinovskyi, Ellertsson, Martin, Vitinha & Colombo

Last five fixtures

• 21.12.25 – Genoa 0–1 Atalanta
• 14.12.25 – Genoa 1–2 Inter
• 08.12.25 – Udinese 1–2 Genoa
• 03.12.25 – Atalanta 4–0 Genoa
• 29.11.25 – Genoa 2–1 Verona

Player to watch: Matias Soule

Matias Soule has emerged as Roma’s key attacking influence in recent weeks, delivering a run of performances that underline his importance to the side. The Argentine has been directly involved in seven goals this season, scoring three times and providing four assists. 

He was particularly influential in the victory over Como, where his movement and creativity caused constant problems for the opposition. He is likely to operate as the main creative player, tasked with exploiting any gaps in Genoa’s defensive structure.