Roma vs Fiorentina prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/05/2025
Neither side can afford to make a mistake on Sunday. - (Photo by IMAGO)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Fiorentina over 1.5 total goals

Fiorentina scored at least twice against Roma in three of the last six meetings.

Roma and Fiorentina will collide on the 4th of May at the mythical Stadio Olimpico in a can’t-miss clash that can surely be considered the cherry on top of this week’s Serie A package. If you are wondering how this match might end, you have come to the right place. Check out our professional Roma vs Fiorentina betting tips for more information.

For more of our professional Serie A betting tips, head over to our special page.

Roma vs Fiorentina prediction: Spectacle at Stadio Olimpico

Key Stats

  • Four consecutive Roma vs Fiorentina head-to-heads resulted in goals galore.
  • Fiorentina won two of the last five direct games, two resulted in ties, as the Wolves achieved only one victory.
  • Fiorentina haven’t lost one of their last five Serie A games.

Correct score prediction: Roma 2-2 Fiorentina

We believe our key Roma vs Fiorentina predictions will surely succeed, as Fio are often proving to be a tough nut to crack. One of the last two games between the two teams actually resulted in a 2-2 draw, which is definitely a plus in favour of our top Serie A betting tips today.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Claudio Ranieri has the answers, bookies claim

  • HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 58.7%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 25.3%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 16.0%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It comes as no surprise that the experts consider Roma as the expected winners on Sunday. With odds valued at 13/20 (1.65), coach Ranieri’s boys have a massive 58.7% win probability before the kick-off. Which is truly impressive considering what Fiorentina seem to have in terms of win chance.

Another one of the top betting tips today that you should know about is BTTS – Yes. Our key Roma vs Fiorentina prediction is valued at 37/50 (1.75), which roughly translates to a 57.5% chance of success.

Most recent H2Hs: Fierce rivalry renewed

Italy Serie A 27/10/24

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

5
Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 10/03/24

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2
Roma

Roma

2

Italy Serie A 10/12/23

Roma

Roma

1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/05/23

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2
Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 15/01/23

Roma

Roma

2
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

It will be very difficult for Ranieri to keep morale high after that brutal 5-1 beating Roma took in their previous encounter against this opponent.

Roma team news and form: Wolves dare to dream

Currently, the team is locked in 6th position, with a good chance of earning a Champions League spot. However, Ranieri will not be able to count on Paulo Dybala and Victor Nelsson, which is surely another thing working in favour of our top Roma vs Fiorentina predictions.

Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Ndicka, Mancini, Celik, Soule, Cristante, Kone, Pellegrini, Tasende, Shomurodov & Dovbyk

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Verona

Verona

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Lazio

Lazio

1

Roma

Roma

1

Fiorentina team news and form: Packed schedule might hurt Fio

Fiorentina had to face La Liga’s Real Betis just a few days ago. Sure, the match didn’t end well for coach Raffaele Palladino, but that’s because he wasn’t able to count on the likes of injured Dodo and Edoardo Bove.

Predicted lineup: de Gea (GK), Ranieri, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Fagioli, Gosens, Cataldi, Mandragora, Parisi, Guomundsson & Beltran

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Venezia

Venezia

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Roma

Roma

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Player to watch: David de Gea

Safe-hands de Gea earned a shout-out in our professional Roma vs Fiorentina prediction, as he is really one of the visitors’ main players this season. He is a firm starter for his club and it goes without saying that he will take part in the extremely important clash at the Stadio Olimpico this week.

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction 2
Spanish shot-stopper key for Fio. – (Photo by IMAGO)

Can de Gea keep a clean sheet on Sunday?

So far, Fio have conceded 34 Serie A games. Only a handful of teams have defensive record more impressive than Fiorentina’s, and that’s largely due to Manchester United’s former player who is enjoying football once more.


Zack has been writing for Football Whispers for more than 5 years now. He specialises in North American, Australian and English football, follows it closely and is passionate about betting on the MLS, Liga MX and the A-League. His experience playing and coaching the game in addition to his writing acumen fits the purpose of Football Whispers perfectly. Namely, explore the game, do proper research and provide useful insight plus well-thought out betting forecasts.