Roma vs Cagliari prediction
Roma player celebrating a goal (Photo by Imago)
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Roma & BTTS

Roma have won nine of their 14 home games in Serie A this season and both team have scored in 50% of their games at the Stadio Olimpico.

Roma will be looking to bounce back this weekend following the disappointment of their midweek Europa League exit and up next is a home game against Cagliari.

Roma vs Cagliari prediction: Home win and BTTS?

Key Stats

  • Cagliari have lost seven times on the road this season and 62% of their away trips have ended with both teams scoring.
  • 64% of Roma's home games in Serie A this season have produced over 2.5 total goals.
  • Five of the last seven league meetings between these two clubs have witnessed at least three goals.

Correct score prediction: Roma 2-1 Cagliari

Roma are averaging 2.00 points per home game and have looked very strong at the Stadio Olimpico this season where they are scoring an average of 2.14 goals per game and only conceding 0.93 goals, so you can see why we have backed a 2-1 final scoreline prediction in the hosts' favour.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the overwhelming favourite

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 13/4 (4.25) – 23.5%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Roma are the predicted winners of this game with a probability of 63.6% and while we agree with the bookmakers, we're still expecting a close game on Sunday.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: The hosts dominate

Roma have won four and drawn one of their last five meetings with Cagliari. The pair played out a goalless draw when they locked horns in August.

Italy Serie A 18/08/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

0
Roma

Roma

0

Italy Serie A 05/02/24

Roma

Roma

4
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 08/10/23

Cagliari

Cagliari

1
Roma

Roma

4

Italy Serie A 16/01/22

Roma

Roma

1
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 27/10/21

Cagliari

Cagliari

1
Roma

Roma

2

Roma preview: Crashed out of the Europa League

Roma had established a 2-1 lead heading into the second leg of their Europa League tie away at Athletic Bilbao but it wasn't enough to stop them from being eliminated.

Athletic Bilbo scored right before halftime to make the aggregate scoreline 2-2 and then added two further goals in the second half. Roma pulled a goal back via a stoppage-time penalty but the damage had already been done and Athletic Bilbao claimed a 4-3 aggregate victory.

Gianluca Mancini returns to the squad following a suspension, but Mario Hermoso, Mehmet Zeki Celik, Enzo Le Fee and Edoardo Bove look set to miss the game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Hummels, Angelino, Mancini, Ndicka, Rensch, Paredes, Cristante, Baldanzi, Dybala & Dovbyk

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Lazio

Lazio

1

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Juventus

Juventus

1

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Roma

Roma

1

UEFA Europa League 13/03/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Roma

Roma

1

Cagliari preview: Held at home by Genoa

Cagliari started brightly at home against Genoa in Serie A last weekend where a goal from Benito Viola put the hosts in front in the 18th minute.

However, genoa equalised early in the second half and Cagliari failed to take any of the chances they created and had to settle for a share of the spoils in the end.

The visitors could be without the services of forwards Florinel Coman and Zito Luvumbo for the trip to Rome on Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Mina, Luperto, Zappa, Obert, Zortea, Viola, Deiola, Makoumbou, Coman & Piccoli

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Empoli

Empoli

0

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Cagliari

Cagliari

3

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

L

Roma

Roma

1

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 07/03/25

D

Genoa

Genoa

1

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Player to watch: Paulo Dybala

Roma will be hoping for a big performance from star striker Paulo Dybala this weekend as the hosts look to make a return to winning ways after their European defeat.

Paulo Dybala
Paulo Dybala in action for Roma – Photo by Icon Sport

Dybala, 31, has scored six times in 23 Serie A appearances this season and has some work to do if he is going to reach the previous campaign's total of 13.

The Argentinian has six goals in Serie A this season

The former Juventus player has more to his game than just goals, he is also very creative. Dybala has the joint-highest number of assists for Roma this season (three) and is very dangerous in and around the penalty area.

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James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.