Roma will welcome Cagliari to the Stadio Olimpico on Monday night for a crucial Serie A fixture, with the home side looking to maintain their push for a Champions League qualification spot.
The Giallorossi’s push for a top-four finish has lost momentum after they failed to win either of their last two Serie A matches, drawing one and losing the other to fall two points off fourth place at the start of this round.
Recent results at the Stadio Olimpico underline that confidence, with five wins from their last seven home league fixtures, suggesting familiar surroundings offer the best platform for a response.
That said, closing out the Serie A weekend may bring some unease, having suffered defeat to Udinese last Monday, their fourth loss in the last seven league matches played on a Monday.
Conversely, the visitors appear set for a season of mid-table stability, sitting comfortably clear of relegation danger while also well adrift of the European places.
Despite that, they have found form at just the right time, stringing together three consecutive league victories. That run has pushed their points tally beyond 27 after 23 matches for only the second time in 14 Serie A seasons.
Replicating that success away from home may prove difficult, however, as Cagliari have managed just two wins from their last 11 matches on the road in all competitions.
Read our Roma vs Cagliari predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
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Roma vs Cagliari prediction: Home team to win comfortably
Key statistics
- Roma have won their last four Serie A meetings with Cagliari.
- Semih Kilicsoy has scored in two games in a row for Cagliari.
- Cagliari have scored in four of their last five games in the Serie A.
Correct score prediction: Roma 3-1 Cagliari
We expect the home team to secure a comfortable victory in what should be a highly competitive encounter. We predict a 3-1 victory for Roma because of their good form at the Stadio Olimpico against teams in the lower half of the table. ]
Although the visitors are finding their scoring touch, the defensive organisation of the Romans usually limits opponents to a single goal at most during home matches.
Given that both sides have found the back of the net in their most recent league fixtures, we believe a result that sees both teams scoring, but the host will emerge as winners in the clash.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Home side strong favourites
- Home: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- Draw: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- Away: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Roma head into this fixture as clear favourites, with odds of 1.44 implying a 69.2% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 4.33, suggesting a moderate possibility, while the away side are firm outsiders at 7.50, reflecting just a 13.3% implied probability. The odds favour a home win, though the draw remains a secondary consideration.
Most recent head-to-head: Roma edge previous records
The record between these two sides heavily favours the host, although the visitors have managed to pull off some surprising results recently. In their last five meetings, Roma have won three times, Cagliari have won once, and one match ended in a draw.
The most recent clash in December 2025 saw the Islanders secure a surprising 1-0 victory at the Sardegna Arena, which ended a long winless streak against the capital side. Before that, the Giallorossi earned a 1-0 home win in 2025 following a 0-0 draw earlier in the 2024 season.
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After reviewing our key Roma vs Cagliari predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Roma preview: Injuries and squad availability
Roma continue to contend with several absentees, as Manu Kone and Paulo Dybala remain sidelined through injury, while Stephan El Shaarawy is also expected to miss out.
There is some encouragement for the Giallorossi, however, with Evan Ferguson potentially returning to the bench and loan arrival Bryan Zaragoza in line to make his debut. That said, attacking options are still stretched, with Artem Dovbyk and Robino Vaz both unavailable for selection.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Mancini, Ndicka, Ghilardi, Celik, Cristante, El Aynaoui, Wesley, Soule, Pellegrini & Malen
Last five fixtures
- 02.02.26 – Udinese 1–0 AS Roma
- 29.01.26 – Panathinaikos 1–1 AS Roma
- 25.01.26 – AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan
- 22.01.26 – AS Roma 2–0 Stuttgart
- 18.01.26 – Torino 0–2 AS Roma
Cagliari preview: Injury issues in the team
Cagliari remain without Michael Folorunsho, Andrea Belotti and Mattia Felici, with the trio all continuing their spells on the sidelines. Aside from those absences, Davide Nicola has a largely healthy squad at his disposal, giving him plenty of options heading into this fixture.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Mina, Rodriguez, Palestra, Adopo, Gaetano, Mazzitelli, Obert, Esposito & Kilicsoy
Last five fixtures
- 31.01.26 – Cagliari 4–0 Verona
- 24.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari
- 17.01.26 – Cagliari 1–0 Juventus
- 12.01.26 – Genoa 3–0 Cagliari
- 08.01.26 – Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari
Player to watch: Semih Kilicsoy
Semih Kilicsoy looks to be enjoying his season with Cagliari and he is the away side's Serie A top scorer this season. The forward has scored four goals for his team and has been on the score sheet in back-to-back games.
He scored against Hellas Verona last weekend, helping his team extend their winning streak to three games. His consistency in the final third has been good and he will likely be the primary threat to the Roma defence.