Atalanta will take on Roma in Serie A on Monday, 12 May, in a huge match in the race for European football in Italy.
The hosts come into the match needing one more win to secure Champions League football, but with other results going their way this weekend, they will feel that a point will be enough.
The visitors, meanwhile, are just a point behind Juventus in fourth position coming into this one, so know that a win would catapult them into the Champions League places with just two games to play.
As part of our latest round of Serie A betting tips, here is our Atalanta vs Roma prediction.
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Atalanta vs Roma prediction: The visitors to pick up a big win
Key stats
- Roma are unbeaten across their last seven matches (five draws, two wins).
- Roma have won six of their last seven Serie A away matches.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of Roma's last eight league matches.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 0-1 Roma
This has been a scoreline that has been very common in recent Roma fixtures, with six of their last eight Serie A matches finishing by this scoreline. Interestingly, Atalanta's last two league defeats have also come by this scoreline, so another 1-0 triumph for the visitors is certainly shouldn't be considered a shock.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta start as favourites
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Atalanta vs Roma odds indicate that it is the hosts who should walk away with the win on Monday night, which only adds more value to our tip of a Roma win. Ladbrokes have given Atalanta a 51.3% chance of victory while Roma have been given just a 26.7% chance of taking three points with them back to the capital.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Serie A predictions this week.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Atalanta
This has been a fixture that Atalanta have enjoyed more than Roma in recent years, with Gian Piero Gasperini's men now unbeaten in their last five matches against the Giallorossi. Atalanta won four of those five matches, too, which should give them huge confidence ahead of Monday night.
Italy Serie A 02/12/24
Roma
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 12/05/24
Atalanta
Roma
Italy Serie A 07/01/24
Roma
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 24/04/23
Atalanta
Roma
Italy Serie A 18/09/22
Roma
Atalanta
Atalanta preview: A depleted squad looking to cling on
Atalanta know that a draw on Monday night will guarantee a top-four finish and Champions League football, but considering their list of absentees, it's not going to be easy. Ademola Lookman is out with an Achilles injury, while Stefan Posch, Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Scamacca, Juan Cuadrado and Sead Kolasinac are all also in the treatment room. Isak Hien will miss this match due to suspension.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Djimsiti, De Roon, Bellanova, Pasalic, Ederson, Zappacosta, De Ketelaere, Brescianini, Retegui
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
W
Roma
1
Atalanta
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Monza
0
Atalanta
4
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D
Lecce
1
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
W
AC Milan
0
Atalanta
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
W
Bologna
0
Atalanta
2
Roma preview: Finishing the season without their captain
If Roma are to complete one of the finest turnarounds in Serie A history and finish inside the top four, then they are going to have to do it without their captain, Lorenzo Pellegrini. The midfielder is unlikely to play again this season due to a muscular injury.
Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Soule, Cristante, Kone, Angelino, Pisilli, Dovbyk, Shomurodov
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Atalanta
2
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Fiorentina
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Inter Milan
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
W
Verona
0
Roma
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Lazio
1
Roma
1
Player to watch: Artem Dovbyk
Artem Dovbyk rediscovered his shooting boots last time out, scoring for the first time in four matches in the win over Fiorentina. That goal could turn out to be a big one in a few weeks, but only if Roma now go on to finish the job. Can the former Girona hitman fire in another win on Monday night?