Real Sociedad make the trip to the Spanish capital on Saturday. Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can spring a surprise at the Estadio Metropolitano.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction: Sorloth to net the only goal
Key stats
- Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad betting tips take into account that La Real’s matches in the league this season average just 2.03 goals per game.
- Atleti have won 71% of their home matches in La Liga, losing only once.
- They’ve kept a clean sheet in 53% of their league games in front of their own fans.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Sociedad
Only three teams have scored fewer goals than Real Sociedad in La Liga this season, and that’s the main reason they find themselves outside the European places heading into the final few games.
Away to the side with the second-best defensive record, it’s hard to see them having any more joy in the final third in this game, and Los Rojiblancos look capable of edging it.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad odds, with an implied probability of 60.6% that they win this match.
They were involved in a drab 0-0 draw away to Alaves last weekend, while Real Sociedad also drew 0-0 on matchday 34 in their Basque derby against Athletic Club.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: La Real winless at the Metropolitano
Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction suggests the visitors will continue their record of having never won at the Estadio Metropolitano.
Atleti are unbeaten in six competitive meetings overall, winning four of those games.
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Atletico Madrid preview: Alvarez serves suspension
The home team will have to cope without their star striker Julian Alvarez who is suspended. Diego Simeone may experiment with a new system in this game, with little riding on it from an Atletico Madrid perspective.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Le Normand, Gimenez, Llorente, Koke, Barrios, De Paul, Lino, Sorloth & Simeone
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
Real Sociedad preview: Imanol’s problems clearing up
La Real should have Igor Zubeldia and Alvaro Odriozola available for this game. They are in a better position now than was the case a few weeks back, but Arsen Zakharyan, Orri Oskarsson and Sheraldo Becker are all still nursing injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), Munoz, Aguerd, Martin, Traore, B. Mendez, Zubimendi, Marin, S. Gomez, Oyarzabal & Kubo
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Celta Vigo 1 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L Atletico Madrid 4 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
D Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L CD Alaves 1 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D Villarreal 2 Real Sociedad 2
Player to watch – Alexander Sorloth
The main beneficiary from Alvarez’s suspension should be Alexander Sorloth. The Norwegian has scored 13 goals in 31 appearances in La Liga this season, although he has only made 12 starts until this point.
Sorloth still offering a goal threat
Despite spending a lot of time on the bench, Sorloth still averages a healthy goal every 102 minutes in the league, while he also averages 1.9 shots per game.