Real Madrid travel to Mestalla in the opening game of 2025 in the Spanish top flight. Our Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can claim the win.
Contents
Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction: Mbappe to strike in road win
Key stats
- Our Valencia vs Real Madrid betting tips take into account that Los Che have only taken one point from six games against top seven opposition this season.
- Valencia home games average 2.88 goals per game.
- 61% of Los Blancos games in La Liga this season have produced over 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Valencia 1-3 Real Madrid
This is a new dawn for Valencia with Carlos Corberan taking charge, but the former West Brom boss has got a massive job on his hands.
His new side has been struggling at both ends of the pitch and they are likely to fall short here against what should be a refreshed Real Madrid side after a much needed break.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites
- HOME: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- AWAY: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Real Madrid odds with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this match.
They were 4-2 winners at home to Sevilla in their most recent game, with Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo among the scorers.
As for Valencia, they drew 2-2 at home to Alaves in their last match, a result that led to the dismissal of Ruben Baraja.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Valencia competitive at home
Our Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction suggests this will go the way of the visiting team, but Los Blancos have only won on one of their last five league visits to Mestalla.
Real Madrid have had a player sent off on each of their last two visits to this ground.
Spain La Liga 02/11/24
Valencia
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 02/03/24
Valencia
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 11/11/23
Real Madrid
Valencia
Spain La Liga 21/05/23
Valencia
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 02/02/23
Real Madrid
Valencia
Valencia preview: Corberan era commences
Pepelu is suspended in a significant blow for the new Valencia boss. Key men Jose Gaya and Giorgi Mamardashvili are also rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Dimitrievski (GK), Rioja, Tarrega, Mosquera, Foulquier, Barrenechea, Guerra, Almeida, Canos, Duro & Diego Lopez
Spain La Liga 09/02/25 W Leganes 0 Valencia 2 Spain Copa del Rey 06/02/25 L Barcelona 5 Valencia 0 Spain La Liga 02/02/25 W Celta Vigo 1 Valencia 2 Spain La Liga 26/01/25 L Barcelona 7 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/01/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Valencia 1
Real Madrid preview: Visitors missing three
Long-term absentees Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal and David Alaba are the only players missing for the away team.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Mendy, Rudiger, Tchouameni, Vazquez, Camavinga, Bellingham, Valverde, Vinicius, Mbappe & Rodrygo
UEFA Champions League 11/02/25 W Man City 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 08/02/25 D Atletico Madrid 1 Real Madrid 1 Spain Copa del Rey 05/02/25 W Leganes 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 01/02/25 L Espanyol 1 Real Madrid 0 UEFA Champions League 29/01/25 W Brest 0 Real Madrid 3
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
There have been signs that Mbappe is starting to really get into his groove in recent weeks. The Frenchman has scored 10 goals in 16 appearances so far in La Liga and has three in his last three games in all competitions.
Mbappe firing in the shots
The former PSG forward averages 4.6 shots per game so far in La Liga. That’s more than any other player in the division.