Real Madrid are back in action at the Santiago Bernabeu this weekend. Our Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can see off struggling opposition, after a dramatic cup tie in midweek.
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Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction: Both teams to score in home win
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs Valencia betting tips take into account that Carlo Ancelotti’s side have gone seven games without a clean sheet.
- Valencia have been beaten by top-three opposition four times in all competitions since Carlos Corberan took charge at the turn of the year.
- Los Che have only failed to score in one of their last eight league games.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-2 Valencia
Real Madrid continue to look very shaky at the back, with even some of the poorer teams in La Liga managing to cut through them and create chances right now.
That has to offer hope to Valencia who have been a resurgent force overall under Corberan. However that revival has largely centred around their home form, and they don’t look like recording their first away win of the La Liga campaign here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Valencia odds, with an implied probability of 76.9% that they win this match.
They were involved in a thrilling Copa del Rey semi-final second leg in midweek, eventually progressing in extra time after a 4-4 draw against Real Sociedad.
As for Valencia, they head into this game following a 1-0 home win over Mallorca, with Diego Lopez’s goal inching them a bit closer to safety.
For more from the upcoming matches in Spain and beyond, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Madrid dominant at the Bernabeu
Our Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction suggests Los Blancos will record a seventh straight victory at home to Los Che in La Liga.
All of the last three meetings overall have seen both teams score, and also produced over 2.5 goals.
Spain La Liga 03/01/25
Valencia
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 02/11/24
Valencia
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 02/03/24
Valencia
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 11/11/23
Real Madrid
Valencia
Spain La Liga 21/05/23
Valencia
Real Madrid
Real Madrid preview: Defensive issues continue
Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao remain out injured and both are being badly missed. Real Madrid also have doubts over Dani Ceballos, Ferland Mendy, Thibaut Courtois and Andriy Lunin.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Rudiger, Asencio, Valverde, Bellingham, Tchouameni, Modric, Brahim, Vinicius & Mbappe
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
Valencia preview: Triple suspension blow for Corberan
The visitors are hampered by suspensions for Jose Gaya, Luis Rioja and Dimitri Foulquier. Thierry Correia is out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Vazquez, Diakhaby, Tarrega, Mosquera, Aarons, Guerra, Almeida, Barrenechea, D. Lopez & Sadiq
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25
D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25
W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1 
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
After a slightly slow start to life in Spain, Mbappe is really starting to fire for Real Madrid. He’s now on 22 goals from 27 appearances in La Liga, second only to Robert Lewandowski in the Pichichi race.
Mbappe firing in the shots
The Frenchman is averaging 4.5 shots per game in the Spanish top flight. That’s more than any other player in La Liga. He’s had three or more shots on target in nine of his last 13 appearances for club and country.