There’s a Copa del Rey semi-final second leg at the Santiago Bernabeu on Tuesday. Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction considers whether Los Blancos can convert a 1-0 advantage into a place in the final.
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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction: Both teams to score, but hosts to win by one
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad betting tips take into account that all of the home team’s last five victories have come by one-goal margins.
- Four of the last five Real Sociedad games have served up goals at each end.
- Only two of the last 22 competitive fixtures involving La Real have ended level.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
Real Madrid are not playing well at the moment, with evenly lowly Leganes creating chances and scoring two goals at the Bernabeu at the weekend.
There was enough in that game to suggest there is a bit of life left in this tie, but the home team’s vastly superior attacking options should see them over the line, and into the final in Seville.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad odds, with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this match.
They were 3-2 winners on Saturday, with Kylian Mbappe scoring two more goals to kill off a spirited Leganes side.
As for La Real, they head into this game following a 2-1 win at home to bottom club Real Valladolid in La Liga, with Mikel Oyarzabal and Sergio Gomez grabbing the goals.
For more from the upcoming action, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Four straight wins for Ancelotti’s side
Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction suggests Los Blancos will record a fifth win in succession against this opposition on Tuesday.
Meetings are normally relatively tight though, with three of Real Madrid’s last four victories coming by one-goal margins.
Spain Copa del Rey 26/02/25
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 14/09/24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 26/04/24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 17/09/23
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga 02/05/23
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Real Madrid preview: Injury problems for the hosts
Carlo Ancelotti is likely to be without goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois again here due to an injury, while Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal and Dani Ceballos are also still out. Ferland Mendy is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Lunin (GK), F. Garcia, Rudiger, Alaba, L. Vazquez, Bellingham, Tchouameni, Valverde, Rodrygo, Vinicius & Endrick
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 W CD Alaves 0 Real Madrid 1 UEFA Champions League 08/04/25 L Arsenal 3 Real Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 L Valencia 2 Real Madrid 1 Spain Copa del Rey 01/04/25 D Real Sociedad 4 Real Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 W Leganes 2 Real Madrid 3
Real Sociedad preview: Mendez sidelined again
The visitors are still missing midfielder Brais Mendez to a fractured metatarsal. Sheraldo Becker and Arsen Zakharyan are rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), Munoz, Aguerd, Zubeldia, Aramburu, Zubimendi, Sucic, Turrientes, S. Gomez, Oyarzabal & Kubo
Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Mallorca 2 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 W Las Palmas 1 Real Sociedad 3 Spain Copa del Rey 01/04/25 D Real Madrid 4 Real Sociedad 4 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 W Valladolid 1 Real Sociedad 2 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 D Rayo Vallecano 2 Real Sociedad 2
Player to watch – Vinicius Junior
After a weekend rest, Vinicius Junior should return to the starting lineup for Los Blancos on Tuesday, with Mbappe potentially dropping to the bench. The Brazilian has 19 goals and 11 assists in all competitions this season for Los Blancos.
Vinicius striking after the break
The forward has been most effective after the interval this season. A huge 84% of his club goals have come in the second half.