All eyes will be on the Bernabeu when Real Madrid host Monaco in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, 20 January 2026.
View our free Real Madrid vs Monaco predictions below.
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Real Madrid vs Monaco predictions: Goals expected
Key stats
- At least three goals were scored in four of Real Madrid's last five matches across all competitions.
- Monaco's last four games produced goals at both ends.
- Real Madrid have won 11 of their 13 home games this season.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Monaco
Monaco's recent run of results does not inspire much confidence, as they have lost seven of their last eight Ligue 1 games and have managed only two wins in their six UEFA Champions League matches this season.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, have won four of six matches in this competition. They have also been almost unstoppable at home, winning 11 of their 13 home games across all competitions this season.
Keeping that in mind, we are confident that Madrid will secure a fairly comfortable victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid clearly favoured
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Real Madrid returned to winning ways with a 2-0 victory over Levante last weekend. They will turn their attention to the UEFA Champions League, where they have earned 12 points from a possible 18.
On the other hand, Monaco suffered a disappointing 3-1 home defeat at the hands of Lorient last weekend. Interestingly, they are unbeaten in their last five Champions League games (W2, D3).
Ahead of this skirmish, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.30). Teams with these odds generally have a 76.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Real Madrid vs Monaco predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that three of Real Madrid's last four matches went above the 4.5-goal threshold, over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 9/10 (1.90). That one has a 52.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First clash in over two decades
Real Madrid and Monaco will square off against each other for the first time since April 2004. The last time these teams clashed was in the quarterfinal of the 2003/04 UEFA Champions League, and Monaco eliminated Real Madrid on away goals en route to the final.
Real Madrid preview: Fair few absentees
Real Madrid have a few injury concerns ahead of this game, as defenders Eder Militao, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ferland Mendy, and Antonio Rudiger are all ruled out of this encounter.
Rodrygo Goes and Andriy Lunin could both miss out due to physical discomforts, but star forward Kylian Mbappe is completely fit to start for Los Blancos in the final third alongside Vinicius.
Alvaro Carreras is suspended for this encounter, giving Fran Garcia a chance to start at the left-back position.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Valverde, Asencio, Huijsen, F. Garcia, Camavinga, Tchouameni, Bellingham, Guler, Vinicius Jr & Mbappe.
Last five matches
- Real Madrid 2-0 Levante
- Albacete 3-2 Real Madrid
- Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 5-1 Real Betis
Monaco preview: Hoping to improve their fortunes
Folarin Balogun picked up a new injury in Monaco’s last game, becoming unavailable for this trip. Takumi Minamino, Christian Mawissa, Paul Pogba, Lukas Hradecky, and Mohammed Salisu are also ruled out of this clash due to injuries.
Senegal won the Africa Cup of Nations final on Sunday night with the duo Krepin Diatta and Lamine Camara part of the squad. Both players could be back in time for this game, but it remains to be seen if the manager will rush them immediately back into the starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Vanderson, Kehrer, Dier, Henrique, Akliouche, Teze, Zakaria, Golovin, Ilenikhena & Biereth.
Last five matches
- Monaco 1-3 Lorient
- Orleans 1-3 Monaco
- Monaco 1-3 Lyon
- Auxerre 1-2 Monaco
- Marseille 1-0 Monaco
Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe
Kylian Mbappe is the top scorer in the UEFA Champions League this season with nine goals in five appearances. The former PSG forward has 13 goal contributions in his last 12 clashes with Monaco, the club where he started his career.