Man City vs Real Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/04/2024

Man City
17/04/24 - 20:00

Finished

1

-

1

Real Madrid

Man City - Real Madrid

UEFA Champions League - Etihad Stadium

3rd Round

Man City vs Real Madrid prediction
Jude Bellingham of Real Madrid and Rodri Hernandez of Manchester City in action – Photo by Icon Sport

We're bringing you our Champions League predictions for Wednesday's second leg between Manchester City and Real Madrid. Pep Guardiola's men came back from Spain with a 3-3 draw and head into the second leg as the bookmaker's favourite to progress. We're predicting another exciting, end-to-end 90 minutes between these two European giants, one that should not be missed by any football fan.

Man City vs Real Madrid predictions: Man City to exploit home advantage

Man City vs Real Madrid Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

BTTS

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Man City 3-2 Real Madrid

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Erling Haaland

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings between Man City and Real Madrid in the Champions League, while each of the host's last four outings have also ended with both teams scoring.
  • Man City have scored at least three goals in each of their last four fixtures, while Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in four of their last five matches, so a 3-2 scoreline in favour of Man City seems reasonable.
  • Erling Haaland didn't score in the first leg but has netted six Champions League goals this season and the Norwegian goal-machine is back in good form with two goals in his last three outings.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home win on the cards

  • HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man City are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 60%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

Manchester City were in top form at the weekend as they made light work of Luton Town, running out 5-1 winners, while Real Madrid secured a narrow 1-0 win at Mallorca and both teams top their domestic leagues.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back under 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 6/4 (2.50) but the probability is only 40%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 3/5 (1.60) which has a probability of 62.5%.

Last five H2Hs: Man City just in front

UEFA Champions League 09/04/24

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3
Man City

Man City

3

UEFA Champions League 17/05/23

Man City

Man City

4
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

UEFA Champions League 09/05/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1
Man City

Man City

1

UEFA Champions League 04/05/22

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3
Man City

Man City

1

UEFA Champions League 26/04/22

Man City

Man City

4
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Man City have claimed five wins, four draws and four defeats in their 13 previous encounters with Real Madrid in all competitions with the pair playing out a 3-3 draw in the first leg.

Team news and form guide

Man City: In top form

Pep Guardiola has a clean bill of health and no suspended players for the all-important second leg on Wednesday night and the only change we are expecting to the starting lineup that faced Real Madrid in the first leg is between the sticks with Ederson to come in.

Predicted lineup: Ederson (GK), Stones, Dias, Akanji, Gvardiol, Kovačić, Grealish, Silva, Rodri, Foden & Haaland

England FA Cup 25/05/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

Man City

Man City

1

Others 21/05/24

D

Stoke

Stoke

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Man City

Man City

3

England Premier League 14/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Man City

Man City

2

England Championship 13/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Man City

Man City

0

Real Madrid: Looking sharp in front of goal

Aurelien Tchouameni is suspended for the second leg and could prove to be a huge loss in the heart of Real's midfield with Luka Modric set to take his place in the starting lineup, while goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois continues to miss out for Real due to an ACL injury.

Predicted lineup: Lunin (GK), Carvajal, Rüdiger, Mendy, Kroos, Valverde, Modrić, Camavinga, Bellingham, Júnior & Rodrygo

UEFA Champions League 01/06/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Player to watch – Phil Foden

Phil Foden put in another impressive display for Man City during the first leg against Real Madrid, scoring one of the visitors' three goals.

phil foden player to watch
Phil Foden could be Man City's talisman against Real Madrid – Photo by Icon Sport

Foden has arguably been Man City's best and most consistant player in all competitions this season, chipping in with goals and assists on a regular basis.

Will Foden bag another goal against Real?

We're backing Foden to shine for Man City on Wednesday night with the kind of performance that will guide his team through to the semi-finals of the Champions League.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Man City

Real Madrid


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things