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Real Madrid - Liverpool
UEFA Champions League - Santiago Bernabeu
4th Round
Prediction 1
Over 2.5 goals
6/11 (1.55)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Real Madrid to win
1/1 (2.00)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Here we bring you Champions League for Real Madrid vs Liverpool with the game due to take place on 15th March.
Real Madrid vs Liverpool prediction and top betting tips
Liverpool have a mountain to climb in this tie if they're to remain in the Champions League. Will they at least be able to make Real Madrid sweat as they visit the Spanish capital? Find out with our Real Madrid vs Liverpool match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction 1: Over 2.5 goals
With Liverpool looking to overturn a 5-2 first leg defeat they will have to come here with an all out attack strategy; that surely lends this match towards being a high scoring affair and that's a key part of our reasoning behind opting for an over 2.5 goals prediction. That isn't the only reason we see this game being a high scorer though. Three of the last five head to head meetings between these two have gone over 2.5 goals whilst Real Madrid have sound recent form for going north of the 2.5 goal mark. Five of their last 10 games have gone north of the 2.5 mark but it's their game average that is more notable; they've averaged a handsome 3.4 goals per game in that time.
Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction 2: Real Madrid to win
Our second prediction for this game sees us backing Real Madrid to win – again. Despite a bright start last time out, Liverpool were ultimately outclassed by Real Madrid at Anfield in the first leg and, based on the form of both teams in recent weeks, we see the same thing happening again here. Liverpool have won just four of their last 10 matches whilst Real Madrid have lost just one of their past nine matches. On top of the form book, the head to head history heavily favours Los Blancos; Real Madrid have won six of the last seven games and, notably, haven't lost any of those games.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Real Madrid vs Liverpool
Head to Head
21/02/23
UEFA Champions League UCL
Liverpool
Real Madrid
2
5
28/05/22
UEFA Champions League UCL
Liverpool
Real Madrid
0
1
14/04/21
UEFA Champions League UCL
Liverpool
Real Madrid
0
0
06/04/21
UEFA Champions League UCL
Real Madrid
Liverpool
3
1
26/05/18
UEFA Champions League UCL
Real Madrid
Liverpool
3
1
Last Five - Real Madrid
27/05/23
Spain Primera Liga Liga
Sevilla
Real Madrid
1
2
W
24/05/23
Spain Primera Liga Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
1
2
W
21/05/23
Spain Primera Liga Liga
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
0
L
17/05/23
UEFA Champions League UCL
Man City
Real Madrid
4
0
L
13/05/23
Spain Primera Liga Liga
Getafe
Real Madrid
0
1
W
Last Five - Liverpool
28/05/23
England Premier League EPL
Southampton
Liverpool
4
4
D
20/05/23
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Liverpool
1
1
D
15/05/23
England Premier League EPL
Leicester
Liverpool
0
3
W
12/05/23
Others Others
Man Utd
Liverpool
0
0
D
06/05/23
England Premier League EPL
Brentford
Liverpool
0
1
W
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Real Madrid vs Liverpool odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.
Real Madrid odds: 1/1 (2.00) – 50%
Draw odds: 14/5 (3.80) – 26%
Liverpool odds: 11/5 (3.20) – 31%
Real Madrid come into this game as the bookies favourites but there is still an element of doubt in a pure match result sense hence the Spanish giants are priced up as an evens (2.00) bet. That being said, the draw and Liverpool to win options are somewhat long shots. Where things become a damn sight clearer though is in the ‘to qualify' market. Liverpool are priced as a 9/1 (1.00) shot to go marching on whilst Real Madrid are a remarkable 1/100 (1.01) price to go through.
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Real Madrid vs Liverpool
Real Madrid
The big news ahead of this game from a Real Madrid perspective is that Karim Benzema is looking likely to be involved after previously being cited as a doubt, however, given the scoreline, he could start on the bench. That positive injury news continues for the host with Ferland Mendy due back in the squad as well. In fact, Mendy could jump straight into the XI because David Alaba won’t be involved.
Predicted lineup – Courtois, Mendy, Rudiger, Militao, Odriozola, Valverde, Camavinga, Ceballos, Asensio, Rodrygo, Vinicius
Liverpool
Liverpool have their work cut out to turn this tie around and their injury situation isn’t exactly helping them on that front. Thiago and Stefan Bajcetic look set to miss out whilst Jordan Henderson is described as a doubt ahead of the match after missing training yesterday afternoon. Joe Gomez, however, is available for selection.
Predicted lineup – Alison, Alexander-Arnold, van Dijk, Konate, Robertson, Fabinho, Keita, Elliott, Salah, Nunez, Gakpo
Real Madrid vs Liverpool Line ups
Real Madrid
Liverpool
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
Liverpool's Darwin Nunez netted the opening goal in the first leg and, whilst erratic, his style of play and ability to play of the cuff could be exactly what Liverpool need to get back into the tie given what sits ahead of them. If nothing else, the Real Madrid backline will know they've been in a gam. Can Nunez be the latest Liverpool star to drag his team to a historic comeback?
A quickfire FAQ on Real Madrid – Liverpool
- Where is the match being played? – Santiago Bernabeu
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Real Madrid
- What time does the match kick off? 8 PM GMT
