Real Madrid vs Liverpool prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 15/03/2023

Real Madrid
15/03/23 - 20:00

Finished

1

-

0

Liverpool

Real Madrid - Liverpool

UEFA Champions League - Santiago Bernabeu

4th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Champions League for Real Madrid vs Liverpool with the game due to take place on 15th March.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool prediction and top betting tips

Liverpool have a mountain to climb in this tie if they're to remain in the Champions League. Will they at least be able to make Real Madrid sweat as they visit the Spanish capital? Find out with our Real Madrid vs Liverpool match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction 1: Over 2.5 goals

With Liverpool looking to overturn a 5-2 first leg defeat they will have to come here with an all out attack strategy; that surely lends this match towards being a high scoring affair and that's a key part of our reasoning behind opting for an over 2.5 goals prediction. That isn't the only reason we see this game being a high scorer though. Three of the last five head to head meetings between these two have gone over 2.5 goals whilst Real Madrid have sound recent form for going north of the 2.5 goal mark. Five of their last 10 games have gone north of the 2.5 mark but it's their game average that is more notable; they've averaged a handsome 3.4 goals per game in that time.

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Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction 2: Real Madrid to win

Our second prediction for this game sees us backing Real Madrid to win  – again. Despite a bright start last time out, Liverpool were ultimately outclassed by Real Madrid at Anfield in the first leg and, based on the form of both teams in recent weeks, we see the same thing happening again here. Liverpool have won just four of their last 10 matches whilst Real Madrid have lost just one of their past nine matches. On top of the form book, the head to head history heavily favours Los Blancos; Real Madrid have won six of the last seven games and, notably, haven't lost any of those games.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Real Madrid vs Liverpool

Head to Head

21/02/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

5

28/05/22

UEFA Champions League UCL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

14/04/21

UEFA Champions League UCL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

0

06/04/21

UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

1

26/05/18

UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

1

Last Five - Real Madrid

19/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

4

D

14/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

5

W

11/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Granada

Granada

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

4

W

08/05/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

2

W

04/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Cadiz

Cadiz

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

3

W

Last Five - Liverpool

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

2

W

14/05/24

Others Others

Man Utd

Man Utd

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

0

D

13/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

3

D

05/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

4

W

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

2

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Real Madrid vs Liverpool odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Real Madrid odds: 1/1 (2.00) – 50%

Draw odds: 14/5 (3.80) – 26%

Liverpool odds: 11/5 (3.20) – 31%

Real Madrid come into this game as the bookies favourites but there is still an element of doubt in a pure match result sense hence the Spanish giants are priced up as an evens (2.00) bet. That being said, the draw and Liverpool to win options are somewhat long shots. Where things become a damn sight clearer though is in the ‘to qualify' market. Liverpool are priced as a 9/1 (1.00) shot to go marching on whilst Real Madrid are a remarkable 1/100 (1.01) price to go through.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Real Madrid vs Liverpool

Real Madrid

The big news ahead of this game from a Real Madrid perspective is that Karim Benzema is looking likely to be involved after previously being cited as a doubt, however, given the scoreline, he could start on the bench. That positive injury news continues for the host with Ferland Mendy due back in the squad as well. In fact, Mendy could jump straight into the XI because David Alaba won’t be involved.

Predicted lineup – Courtois, Mendy, Rudiger, Militao, Odriozola, Valverde, Camavinga, Ceballos, Asensio, Rodrygo, Vinicius

Liverpool

Liverpool have their work cut out to turn this tie around and their injury situation isn’t exactly helping them on that front. Thiago and Stefan Bajcetic look set to miss out whilst Jordan Henderson is described as a doubt ahead of the match after missing training yesterday afternoon. Joe Gomez, however, is available for selection.

Predicted lineup – Alison, Alexander-Arnold, van Dijk, Konate, Robertson, Fabinho, Keita, Elliott, Salah, Nunez, Gakpo

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Line ups

Real Madrid

Real Madrid
4-3-3
1
Thibaut Courtois
be
2
Dani Carvajal
es
3
Eder Militao
br
22
Antonio Rudiger
de
6
Nacho
es
8
Toni Kroos
de
12
Eduardo Camavinga
fr
10
Luka Modric
hr
15
Federico Valverde
uy
9
Karim Benzema
fr
7
Vinicius Junior
br
Substitutes
19
Dani Ceballos
es
5
Jesus Vallejo
es
23
Ferland Mendy
fr
11
Marco Asensio
es
13
Andriy Lunin
ua
29
u00c1lvaro Daniel Rodru00edguez Munoz
uy
18
Aurelien Tchouameni
fr
11
Rodrygo
br
16
Alvaro Odriozola
es
17
Lucas Vazquez
es
24
Mariano Diaz
do

Liverpool

Liverpool
4-3-3
1
Alisson
br
66
Trent Alexander-Arnold
gb
5
Ibrahima Konate
fr
4
Virgil Van Dijk
nl
26
Andy Robertson
gb
20
Diogo Jota
pt
3
Fabinho
br
7
James Milner
gb
11
Mohamed Salah
eg
9
Darwin Nunez
uy
18
Cody Gakpo
nl
Substitutes
15
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
gb
28
Fabio Carvalho
pt
19
Harvey Elliott
gb
17
Curtis Jones
gb
13
Adrian
es
32
Joel Matip
cm
9
Roberto Firmino
br
2
Joe Gomez
gb
62
Caoimhin Kelleher
ie
21
Kostas Tsimikas
gr
8
Naby Keita
gn
46
Rhys Williams
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Liverpool's Darwin Nunez netted the opening goal in the first leg and, whilst erratic, his style of play and ability to play of the cuff could be exactly what Liverpool need to get back into the tie given what sits ahead of them. If nothing else, the Real Madrid backline will know they've been in a gam. Can Nunez be the latest Liverpool star to drag his team to a historic comeback?

A quickfire FAQ on Real Madrid – Liverpool

real madrid vs liverpool prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Santiago Bernabeu
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Real Madrid
  • What time does the match kick off?  8 PM GMT

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!