Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/05/2025
Kylian Mbappe scored in El Clasico last weekend - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Celta Vigo over 1.5 total goals

Real Madrid have major defensive selection issues, and only four sides can better Celta’s average of 1.52 goals per game in La Liga.

Real Madrid need the three points as they look to chase down Barcelona at the top of the Spanish top flight. Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can see off Galician opposition on Sunday at the Bernabeu.

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: Iglesias to strike and visitors to get a result

Key stats

  • Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo betting tips take into account that the visitors have netted at least twice in five of their last eight matches.
  • Real Madrid have already let in two or more goals in five home league games this season.
  • It’s just two defeats in 11 league games for Celta heading into this.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-2 Celta Vigo

Real Madrid are missing five defenders for this game, as well as Eduardo Camavinga, who has often filled in at left-back. That could leave them vulnerable against a strong Celta side that netted three times away to Barcelona only last month.

The visitors won’t be lacking motivation as they target a place in Europe next season, and this could develop into a very tricky afternoon for Los Blancos.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Madrid the odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
  • DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo odds, with an implied probability of 73.3% that they win this match.

They were involved in the Copa del Rey final last weekend, competing well against Barcelona in El Clasico, but ultimately losing 3-2 in extra time.

As for Celta, they were impressive 3-0 winners at home to Villarreal last time out, with Fer Lopez, Borja Iglesias and Iago Aspas scoring.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Los Blancos the dominant force

Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction suggests the visitors can compete here, although they’ve gone 18 matches without a win against the defending Spanish champions.

Celta forced extra time when they visited in the Copa del Rey back in January, before ultimately collapsing to a 5-2 defeat.

Spain Copa del Rey 16/01/25

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain La Liga 19/10/24

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 10/03/24

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain La Liga 25/08/23

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 22/04/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Real Madrid preview: Big problems at the back

Antonio Rudiger is both suspended and injured for Real Madrid. They are also missing Camavinga, Ferland Mendy, David Alaba, Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao which leaves Carlo Ancelotti very short on defensive options.

Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Asencio, Tchouameni, Vazquez, Ceballos, Valverde, Vinicius, Bellingham, Guler & Mbappe

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Celta Vigo preview: Visitors in good shape

Defender Carl Starfelt is the only notable injury absentee for the away team. Claudio Giraldez may still look for some light rotation, as tends to be his way, despite a great win last time out.

Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), Alonso, J. Rodriguez, Lago, Mingueza, Moriba, D. Rodriguez, Carreira, Alfon, F. Lopez & Iglesias

Spain La Liga 13/05/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Villarreal

Villarreal

0

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Player to watch – Borja Iglesias

Iglesias netted his first-ever La Liga hat-trick at Barcelona in April. Celta had plenty of joy on the break that day, and they’ll be hoping their experienced striker can add to his nine-goal season tally here.

real madrid vs celta vigo prediction
Iglesias needs one more goal to hit double figures in La Liga this term – Photo by IMAGO.

Iglesias striking early

The Betis loanee has been at his most effective early on in games this season. 67% of his league goals have come before the interval.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.