Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/03/2024

Real Madrid
10/03/24 - 17:30

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Celta Vigo

Real Madrid - Celta Vigo

Spain Primera Liga - Santiago Bernabeu

real madrid vs celta vigo prediction
Real Madrid won 1-0 in Vigo earlier this term – Photo by Icon Sport

Rafa Benitez returns to the Santiago Bernabeu with Celta Vigo this Sunday in La Liga. Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction looks at whether the under pressure boss has any chance of a result here.

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: Los Blancos to edge it with Vinicius on target again

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Real Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals

⚽ Correct score prediction

Real Madrid 2-1 Celta Vigo

⚽ PLAYER to score anytime

Vinicius Junior to score anytime

Key Stats

  • Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo betting tips take into account the slight dip in form from the home team with Carlo Ancelotti’s side failing to win any of their last five games by more than a single goal.
  • There have been under 3.5 goals in 70% of Real Madrid matches and 74% of Celta matches this season in the league.
  • Los Blancos average 2.69 points per home game, dropping points just twice at the Bernabeu this term in La Liga.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the clear favourites

  • HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
  • DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the big favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo odds with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this game.

We’re also backing Vinicius Junior to score first in our La Liga goalscorer predictions for this weekend at 4/1 (5.00), a probability of 20.0%.

He was on target in midweek as Real Madrid drew 1-1 at home against RB Leipzig to seal a 2-1 aggregate win in the Champions League Last 16. Celta Vigo meanwhile picked up a vital 1-0 win over Almeria in their last match to ease their relegation fears with Oscar Mingueza scoring a screamer.

For more analysis of this and other games, today’s football betting tips guide you through the best bets from a range of different markets. 

Last five H2Hs: Real Madrid the dominant force

Spain Primera Liga 25/08/23

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 22/04/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain Primera Liga 20/08/22

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 02/04/22

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 12/09/21

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction is backed up by the recent clashes with Los Blancos winning all of the last five. They’ve recorded 1-0 and 2-0 wins over Celta in the most recent games, but there had been a number of higher scoring meetings before that.

Real Madrid Preview: Bellingham banned for two games

Jude Bellingham picked up a two game suspension after seeing red for swearing in Valencia last weekend, although Real Madrid are set to appeal. Ancelotti may lightly rotate his team after an underwhelming midweek performance in the Champions League.

Predicted Lineup: Lunin (GK), Mendy, Tchouameni, Rudiger, Carvajal, Modric, Camavinga, Valverde, Brahim, Vinicius, Rodrygo

UEFA Champions League 01/06/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Celta Vigo Preview: Benitez to switch to back five?

Given the difficulty of the fixture, Rafa Benitez may look to park the bus and play with a back five here. Carlos Dotor, Joseph Aidoo and Renato Tapia are injured.

Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), Manu Sanchez, Dominguez, Nuñez, Starfelt, Manquillo, De La Torre, Beltran, Mingueza, Larsen, Aspas

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Valencia

Valencia

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

W

Villarreal

Villarreal

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Player to watch – Vinicius Junior

Vinicus bagged a brace at Valencia last weekend and was also on target in midweek, having been fortunate to avoid a red card minutes earlier as Real Madrid edged into the last eight of the Champions League. The Brazilian is now on 16 goals for the season in all competitions for his club.

vinicius junior
Vinicius Junior has scored three times over the past week – Photo by Icon Sport

Vini doing the damage after the break

In La Liga, he has tended to be more threatening in the Second Half with 67% of his league goals coming after the interval. That includes four goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.