Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction, odds & betting tips 26/10/2025
Real Madrid have won six consecutive league matches. - Photo by IMAGO/AFLOSPORT
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Over 4.5 total cards

At least five cards were awarded in five of the last six El Clasicos.

All eyes will be on Santiago Bernabeu as La Liga's top two teams battle for supremacy in ‘El Clasico’ on Sunday, 26 October 2025.

View our free Real Madrid vs Barcelona predictions below.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona predictions: Goals expected to flow

Key stats

  • Six consecutive clashes between these teams have gone above the 3.5-goal line.
  • Barcelona came out on top in their last four encounters with Real Madrid.
  • The last four meetings between these sides went north of the 10.5-corner threshold.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona

To be fair, Barcelona were victorious in their last four meetings with Real Madrid. However, the Catalan giants have not been particularly convincing in recent weeks, as they lost two of their last four games across all competitions and needed a stoppage-time goal to beat last-placed Girona at home last weekend.

On the other hand, Real Madrid are currently on a four-match winning streak and have 12 wins in their last 13 games across all competitions.

With a perfect record at home across all competitions, we are leaning toward Los Blancos for the win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Barcelona are up against it

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Madrid are leading the La Liga standings, having earned 24 points from a possible 27. They are closely followed by Barcelona, who have a 7-1-1 win-draw-loss record in nine league matches.

Ahead of the first El Clasico of the season, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds usually have a 48.8% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Real Madrid vs Barcelona predictions.

Also, keeping in mind that there were at least 11 corners in each of the last four skirmishes between these fierce rivals, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 9/10 (1.90). That one has a 52.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Barcelona's dominance set to continue?

Barcelona won four out of four meetings between these teams across three competitions (La Liga, Supercopa, Copa del Rey) last season.

Interestingly, last season's first El Clasico took place at this stadium exactly 365 days ago, and Barcelona cruised to a comfortable 4-0 victory.

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

Barcelona

Barcelona

4
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

Barcelona

Barcelona

3
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Super Cup 12/01/25

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2
Barcelona

Barcelona

5

Spain La Liga 26/10/24

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0
Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/24

Barcelona

Barcelona

2
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Real Madrid preview: Looking to maintain their perfect home record

After a couple of weeks with a makeshift backline, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dean Huijsen, Dani Carvajal and Ferland Mendy are all available for El Clasico, giving Los Blancos the needed boost and balance in that area.

However, Antonio Rudiger (thigh), David Alaba (calf), and Raul Asencio (new injury), are confirmed absentees for the hosts.

Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Militao, Huijsen, Carreras, Tchouameni, Valverde, Guler, Bellingham, Mbappe & Vinicius Jr.

Last five matches

  • Real Madrid 1-0 Juventus
  • Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid 3-1 Villarreal
  • Kairat 0-5 Real Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid

Barcelona preview: Eyeing their third consecutive victory

Barcelona will be without star forward Robert Lewandowski for this blockbuster clash. Frenkie de Jong, Dani Olmo, Andreas Christensen, Gavi, Joan Garcia, and Marc-Andre ter Stegen are all sidelined as well.

There are doubts surrounding the availability of Raphinha and Jules Kounde, with both players needing a late fitness test to confirm their final status for the match.

Head coach Hansi Flick will also not be in the dugout on Sunday, as the German serves a touchline ban for being sent off against Girona last time out.

Predicted lineup: Szczesny (GK), Garcia, Araujo, Cubarsi, Balde, Pedri, Casado, Yamal, Lopez, Rashford & Torres.

Last five matches

  • Barcelona 6-1 Olympiacos
  • Barcelona 2-1 Girona
  • Sevilla 4-1 Barcelona
  • Barcelona 1-2 PSG
  • Barcelona 2-1 Real Sociedad

Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe

Kylian Mbappe player to watch
Kylian Mbappe opened the scoring in two of the last three El Clasicos. – Photo by IMAGO/Zuma Press Wire

Kylian Mbappe has a solid track record against Barcelona, as he scored five goals in the last three encounters between these teams, including a hat-trick in the last El Clasico.

The former Paris Saint-Germain forward is La Liga's top scorer this season with 10 goals in nine appearances. He will fancy his chances against Barcelona once again.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed