Real Madrid are back at the Bernabeu this Tuesday for their latest European fixture. Our Real Madrid vs AC Milan prediction and UEFA Champions League betting tips consider which team will emerge victorious in this clash of European heavyweights.
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Real Madrid vs AC Milan prediction: Vinicius to strike in home win
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs AC Milan betting tips take into account that there have been four or more goals in five of the last six matches at the Bernabeu.
- Milan have lost 50% of their away fixtures this term in all competitions.
- They’ve lost four of their last seven in the UEFA Champions League.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 AC Milan
After their weekend league game was postponed, Real Madrid have had 10 days to reflect on their Clasico defeat. They should be well rested here and hungry for a response.
Their home record in Champions League football has been very impressive over a number of years and against what looks to be an unconvincing Milan side, a solid home victory looks likely here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos expected to triumph
- HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the big favourites according to the Real Madrid vs AC Milan odds with an implied probability of 65.2% that they win this match.
They head into this one, having not played since El Clasico the weekend before last when they conceded four Second Half goals in a heavy defeat.
As for Milan, they were in action on Saturday in Serie A, winning 1-0 at Monza thanks to a strike from Tijjani Reijnders.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: First competitive clash in 14 years
Our Real Madrid vs AC Milan prediction suggests the Spaniards will have the edge, although it was the Serie A side that triumphed 1-0 in a pre-season friendly in the summer.
The clubs haven’t met competitively since the group stage of the 2010/11 Champions League, when Los Blancos took four points from the two meetings.
Elite Club Friendlies 01/08/24
Real Madrid
AC Milan
Elite Club Friendlies 24/07/23
Real Madrid
AC Milan
Elite Club Friendlies 08/08/21
Real Madrid
AC Milan
Elite Club Friendlies 11/08/18
Real Madrid
AC Milan
Elite Club Friendlies 30/07/15
Real Madrid
AC Milan
Real Madrid preview: Courtois expected to miss out
The game may come just too soon for Thibaut Courtois who is fighting back to fitness. The same goes for Rodrygo, while David Alaba and Dani Carvajal are definitely out.
Predicted Lineup: Lunin (GK), Mendy, Militao, Rudiger, Vazquez, Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde, Bellingham, Mbappe & Vinicius
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
AC Milan preview: Visitors missing four
The Italians are expected to be without Ismael Bennacer, Alessandro Florenzi, Matteo Gabbia and Luka Jovic due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Maignan (GK), Hernandez, Pavlovic, Tomori, Emerson, Fofana, Loftus-Cheek, Leao, Reijnders, Pulisic & Morata
Italy Serie A 09/05/25
W Bologna 1 AC Milan 3 Italy Serie A 05/05/25
W Genoa 1 AC Milan 2 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W Venezia 0 AC Milan 2 Coppa Italia 23/04/25
W Inter Milan 0 AC Milan 3 Italy Serie A 20/04/25
L Atalanta 1 AC Milan 0
Player to watch – Vinicius Junior
This will be Vinicius Junior’s first match since missing out on the Ballon d’Or and he won’t be lacking motivation as the Brazilian bids to add to his eight goals and five assists in all competitions so far this term in club football.
Vinicius striking late
All eight of Vinicius’ goals this season for Los Blancos have come in the Second Half. That includes three strikes in the Champions League in three appearances.