Two teams at opposite ends of the Bundesliga table are set to clash at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday afternoon as RB Leipzig play host to Mainz. Indeed, Leipzig are currently in the top four, while Mainz are in the relegation play-off spot.
Both sides also had contrasting results in the league last time out, as Leipzig were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw away at St. Pauli, while Mainz won 3-1 at home to Wolfsburg. Nonetheless, we are expecting an intriguing battle with what could be a crucial three points at stake.
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RB Leipzig vs Mainz prediction: Hosts to bounce back?
Key stats
- Leipzig have won six of their last eight home games in all competitions.
- Mainz are winless in nine away matches across all competitions, losing five.
- The previous five H2Hs have averaged just 1.6 goals per game.
Correct score prediction: RB Leipzig 2-0 Mainz
Given home advantage and their respective position in the table compared to their opponent, Leipzig should be favourites for this one. There does not tend to be many goals when these sides meet, so we are not expecting a thrashing from the hosts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leipzig favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Leipzig have been installed as the big favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. A draw can still be backed at just over 20%, while a Mainz victory is rated at 19%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Bundesliga predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Not many goals
As mentioned before, the last five meetings between the two sides have averaged just 1.6 goals per match, while five of the previous six H2Hs have not seen both teams score. This suggests that there may not be a lot of goalmouth action come Saturday.
Germany Bundesliga I 13/09/25
Mainz
RB Leipzig
Germany Bundesliga I 01/03/25
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 19/10/24
Mainz
RB Leipzig
Germany Bundesliga I 30/03/24
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 04/11/23
Mainz
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig preview: Bakayoko doubt
Johan Bakayoko is a doubt for Leipzig through injury. He could join four other players from the senior squad on the sidelines, but the hosts should still be able to pick a strong starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK); Baku, Orban, Bitshiabu, Raum; Schlager, Siewald, Banzuzi; Diomande, Cardoso & Nusa
Last five results:
- St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig
- Heidenheim 0-3 RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern Munich
- RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg
- RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz preview: Couple of doubts
Both Sota Kawaski and Arnaud Nordin are injury doubts for Mainz. Should they be ruled out, they would join seven other senior players on the sidelines for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Batz (GK); Posch, Bell, Potulski; da Costa, Sano, Widmer; Nebel, Lee; Tietz & Hollerbach
Last five results:
- Mainz 3-1 Wolfsburg
- Koln 2-1 Mainz
- Mainz 2-1 Heidenheim
- Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz
- Mainz 0-0 St. Pauli
Player to watch: Yan Diomande
Yan Diomande scored against St. Pauli last time out, and in his previous appearance, he recorded two assists. The Leipzig forward is in good form, and so will be a real threat to Mainz.